a lot of these are joke posts, but I've had a hunch for a while that it'll be sometime in the first half of the 2030s. By then, things have gotten bad enough quickly enough, and there's been enough time for proper buildup if the trends we're seeing now stay at the same rate. It's enough time for the left to get serious mainstream enough to counteract rising fascism, though I think over the next few years (5-7 give or take) it's gonna look like the opposite is happening before we end up shifting into the direction necessary for capitalism to end. There will be some BASED moments, some really tragic "we came so close" events, some absolutely horrific "holy shit we're doomed" points.

to give specific date predictions :curious-marx:

• it'll wobble between getting closer and seeming like it's getting further away, some big events but no dramatic real change up to 2024
• 2024-2026 things get a lot more dangerous for us, seems like capitalism/fascism has won for good, multiple compounding climate-change-caused refugee crises will be a major catalyst of right wing violence, left wing pushback is present and in some places massive, but largely inconsequential in the grand scheme of things. A lot of people will resign to "this is the way things are now". War between PRC and NATO over Taiwan if it hasn't started already
• 2027 is when climate resistance really kicks into full gear, get ready for some Pipeline Fireworks! "ecoterrorists" join the ranks of refugees as a major boogeyman, massive crackdowns on anything vaguely left-wing, (think somewhere between McCarthy and "first they came for the communists") heavily repressive police states become the new norm even in places that currently aren't as heavily policed, but especially in poor, poc dominated areas, refugee settlements, etc. Major shift in the war in favor of China, as NATO countries begin to spread themselves thin
• 2028-2031 Revolutionary groups become major players on the world stage with varying levels of success, I'd wager Latin America, South and West Asia, and possibly (big possibly) the US are the first to see some results. I wanna say the Phillipines is the first to successfully pull off a revolution, possibly as part of a new Pacific theatre, since this whole comment is based on pure gut feeling. If the US seems some action, it would probably be like a longer-term summer 2020, but with a bit more organization and deliberate actions being taken. Attempts for liberal astroturfing of these movements fail and some areas of the US (at the scale of mid-sized cities at the largest) become totally controlled by revolutionary groups. US government refuses to acknowledge these areas exist.
• 2033 If you are a member of the United States government, then pick a god and pray or pick a hell and lie there. Hasta la bye bye to freedom land as we know it, the eagle is dead. I will personally go over there and give every single consenting revolutionary of the former US a big, sloppy, socialist fraternal kiss (and more if requested, I have enough stamina for you all, volcel police be damned!!) This makes international news. (I'm talking about the kiss here, but the fall of the US will make headlines too) The US isn't the only one to fall, and by now a large number of areas are explicitly socialist.
• 2034 onwards is kinda just war of attrition at this point. Capitalism doesn't fully go away until maybe the 2050s or later, but it's no longer the global status quo. We can say we have won at this point.

Damn gut feeling went off. I'll be living in a barrel in the middle of the forest eating questionable mushrooms and talking to frogs whenever the tabloids find this post and ask how to get a hold of the modern Nostradamus