Someone do the wonk thing of telling me how likely that is to happen and the key races to watch in 2022. Without Virgil on the pod I’m lost and confused
Highly likely the house flips and impeachment is a realistic expectation just out of spite, but it's very unlikely they would have enough votes in the senate to remove Biden even if they flip every seat up for election in the midterms.
House will probably flip, since the Dems only have a 10 seat margin.
Senate will also probably flip, since the GOP only needs one seat. Looking at the map, I think that Colorado, Nevada and Arizona and Georgia are within striking distance as GOP pickups. The only possible Democratic pickup this cycle are maybe Pennsylvannia and Wisconsin.
This still doesn't give them enough votes for removal though. So like I said I think they will definitely vote to impeach but it will fail on party lines in the senate as it did with Trump.
You need a majority in the house to impeach, and a supermajority in the Senate to remove from office.
Someone do the wonk thing of telling me how likely that is to happen and the key races to watch in 2022. Without Virgil on the pod I’m lost and confused
Highly likely the house flips and impeachment is a realistic expectation just out of spite, but it's very unlikely they would have enough votes in the senate to remove Biden even if they flip every seat up for election in the midterms.
If they flip every seat in the Senate, they will still need 3 democrats to vote in favor.
House will probably flip, since the Dems only have a 10 seat margin.
Senate will also probably flip, since the GOP only needs one seat. Looking at the map, I think that Colorado, Nevada and Arizona and Georgia are within striking distance as GOP pickups. The only possible Democratic pickup this cycle are maybe Pennsylvannia and Wisconsin.
This still doesn't give them enough votes for removal though. So like I said I think they will definitely vote to impeach but it will fail on party lines in the senate as it did with Trump.
I figure they'll impeach him at least 3 times just so he's been impeached more times than Trump.
I don't think they can get enough seats in the senate for a supermajority based on whos up for election.
They will definitely do it anyway if they flip the house though.