tl;dr The immense government-driven spending boom on building infrastructure and real estate since 2008 has made the construction, real estate, and banking sectors disproportionately large compared to the rest of the economy, larger proportionally even compared to the Japanese economy before its real estate bubble crashed. The government is going to have to enact a potentially long period of enforced austerity on these sectors in order to allow other sectors, especially capital-intensive industry like electronics manufacturing, to catch up. But the current geopolitical climate and continuing pandemic conditions might put a damper on their desire to use these new industries in an export drive. Therefore China is likely looking at a significant period of low growth like it did in the late 90s.

  • pooh [she/her, love/loves]
    ·
    3 years ago

    They’ve both opportunity to invest in means of production and do some big project like national healthcare, where fixed capital is irrelevant, while construction 1000 mri machines is kinda a good avenue for growth

    Their plans for expanding AI would be a great fit for healthcare, if they chose to go that route.