It's not just that variants must emerge but they must out compete all other variants and have immune escape. What are the chances that a more deadly and more contagious and immune escaping variant emerges?
If viruses are always under evolutionary pressure to evolve to be worse, why don't we have constant emerging of new, more deadly, immune/vaccine escaping variants for all other viruses?
Look up above in the thread. Another poster shared a link about the median immunity being 16 months for the unvaxxed. Idk how or if that changes for a vaccinated individual
Hello friend!
It's not just that variants must emerge but they must out compete all other variants and have immune escape. What are the chances that a more deadly and more contagious and immune escaping variant emerges?
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If viruses are always under evolutionary pressure to evolve to be worse, why don't we have constant emerging of new, more deadly, immune/vaccine escaping variants for all other viruses?
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Sure, but they're rarely more deadly. And not always immune escaping. And they never seem to get more contagious
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Look up above in the thread. Another poster shared a link about the median immunity being 16 months for the unvaxxed. Idk how or if that changes for a vaccinated individual
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Isn't that the most likely future for COVID? Don't get me wrong i think that would still be horrible but it would be manageable like the flu.
The hoopla about there being a new worse variant seems like simple doomerism to me
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