Betting markets think Michelle Obama is 3rd most likely to be the next president (I disagree but ymmv)

Nitter

I don't know if it's a betting market or markets. I checked the thread - I don't know the ultimate source.

  • chickentendrils [any, comrade/them]
    ·
    9 months ago

    I've made out well on prediction markets in the past, but POTUS is one I won't touch personally. Trump for GOP nominee in '16/'24 is just free money (absent heart attack gun).

    • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
      ·
      9 months ago

      absent heart attack gun

      The state of Trump's health is unknown. He might live another 10 years or he might die from a natural heart attack in the next five minutes.

    • Owl [he/him]
      ·
      9 months ago

      I made a killing for a while on Manifold (a fake money prediction market) based primarily on a strategy of "nothing ever happens." And this sort of 7% bet on a nonsense tail-end probability really reminds me of why that worked.