• zifnab25 [he/him, any]
      ·
      edit-2
      2 years ago

      I get the feeling we’re gonna get a reactionary movement to the late 2010s environmentalist movement

      I mean, did record gas prices in 2006 create an anti-environmentalist reactionary movement? I recall that being the thing that jump started the electric car industry and fueled an enthusiastic-but-ultimately-failed effort at revitalizing public mass transit.

      I have no doubt that you're going to get a guy like McCain running on a "Drill Everywhere On Everything All At Once!" campaign, but we've been backpedaling from O&G exploration and development over the last decade precisely because we've glutted the market. This is just going to be the sector doing some much-desired profit taking after a few years in the doldrums. And "Exxon racks in record profits!!!" headlines aren't going to endear the company to a bunch of people paying $6/gal at the pump.

      If they succeed we’re gonna get a new Reagan/Thatcher/whatever, like in the 80s.

      We've been doing Reaganism for my entire life. The public sector already underwent extensive privatization. The Pentagon has already been bloated into a moribund behemoth. Finance Capital runs damned near every branch of government and we're just leaping from one asset bubble to another, with all the real domestic infrastructure outsourced a generation ago.

      There's no more Soviet Union to topple or Pacific Rim to exploit, just an Eastern Europe that reflects all our worst impulses and a Chinese-dominated manufacturing sector that has all our receipts. We don't have unions to bust anymore. We don't have a wealthy white working class to fleece. All the California Republicans are Texas Democrats.

      We can do Socialism or we can do Barbarism. But we don't have anything left to do Reaganism one more time.

        • zifnab25 [he/him, any]
          ·
          2 years ago

          Marxists theorize that Capitalism is ultimately destructive, while Communism is constructive.

          It may take numerous iterations, but eventually the functional societies will outcompete the dysfunctional ones. We're already seeing this in East Asia, as China eclipses its neighbours. And we're beginning to see it in Latin America, as socialist states reemerge in the absence of a functional American espionage system. Watching countries like N.Korea and Cuba endure decades of sanction and embargo should illustrate their durability relative to Western economic models.

          But it took centuries for colonization to run its course. I don't think Communism will assert itself on a truly global scale in my lifetime.