I'm not a weatherman but if anything sparks a BLM protest this year it'll be a hot one.

  • rootsbreadandmakka [he/him]
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    10 months ago

    I really sort of doubt this. The left in 2020 was the most organized it has been in the US, in my lifetime at least, and probably for a number of years before I was born also. Since 2020 it seems there's a lot less energy and a lot less organization.

    There's also been a pretty sharp rightward shift since 2020, probably as a response to the George Floyd protests. Those protests came at the tail end of 4 years of anti-Trump politics and a national conversation about race, police, white supremacy and socialism. But for these past 4 years our national conversation has been about crime rates, inflation and "wokeness" and the left has not been at the forefront of those conversations like it was from 2016-2020. The George Floyd protests also got a lot of support from liberals due to the anti-Trump angle, which may have led to the liberal dilution of those protests, but was also the reason they were so huge and widespread; any protests happening now I doubt will get that same support, being aimed at Biden and the Democrats in an election year.

    2020 was also coming right off the extreme hope followed by the intense disappointment of the Bernie campaign. Bernie, despite his flaws, was an extremely important figure in that iteration of the left - he brought "socialism" back into US politics and gave a lot of people for the first time in their lives hope that things could maybe be different. Now Bernie has been neutered by the Democrats - him, the Squad, and also all those other DSA candidates that were supposed to change things are just upholding that old DNC system they had sought to overthrow. Bernie might have in the final analysis just been milquetoast social democracy, but he gave the left in this country direction for a few years there, and moved a ton of people left. Now all of that has been lost.

    There's less organization and less direction on today's left, and more reaction in the general population. You also don't have large numbers of people sitting at home ready to commit large amounts of time to protests like you did in 2020.