He doesn't think China will be the next hegemonic power, because he thinks there will no longer be a hegemonic nation state over the next 100 years due to things like climate change. Instead there will just be little fiefs administering crisis capitalism before total collapse and dissolution. I don't think it's a bad thesis, I don't know what the China Boom book is like though - is it on the "China will collapse tomorrow" side?
he thinks there will no longer be a hegemonic nation state over the next 100 years due to things like climate change. Instead there will just be little fiefs administering crisis capitalism before total collapse and dissolution
Tainter, Joseph A. 1990. The Collapse of Complex Societies. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
He doesn't think China will be the next hegemonic power, because he thinks there will no longer be a hegemonic nation state over the next 100 years due to things like climate change. Instead there will just be little fiefs administering crisis capitalism before total collapse and dissolution. I don't think it's a bad thesis, I don't know what the China Boom book is like though - is it on the "China will collapse tomorrow" side?
Tainter, Joseph A. 1990. The Collapse of Complex Societies. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.