As someone who works in manufacturing, "automation" is vastly overrated and people like this who think you could actually replace a significant number of people with automation have absolutely no clue what they are talking about. That or they're selling snake-oil to C-level managers.
Yeah I think people are going to look back on the AI hype of this era the same way we look at the AI hype of the late 1960s today: absurdly overoptimistic beyond all reason.
So...I think you're right...but you're actually right in a way that kinda keeps me up at night.
Fun fact I think about sometimes is that being a manager at a local bank actually used to be a relatively big deal because it was sort of up to your discretion when and who to give out loans to. Eventually this entire vetting process was completely supplanted by the credit score and bank managers became glorified sales reps. Physical bank locations themselves, at this point, have become almost laughable in how redundant they are.
They and the positions filling them have, in fact, become automated.
People talk about the automation revolution being bunk but from my perspective it's actually just happening in the reverse order a lot of people imagined.
One of the reasons I think a lot of middle and even upper management types are so defensive about their positions is that deep down they know (especially as compared to their counterparts generations ago) they don't actually do or contribute anything.
Because the truth is that crunching numbers, running logistics, and solving case instances based on provided situations is and always has been the thing that computers excel at. The computers mostly took over those jobs years ago.
As someone who works in manufacturing, "automation" is vastly overrated and people like this who think you could actually replace a significant number of people with automation have absolutely no clue what they are talking about. That or they're selling snake-oil to C-level managers.
Yeah I think people are going to look back on the AI hype of this era the same way we look at the AI hype of the late 1960s today: absurdly overoptimistic beyond all reason.
We are due for an AI Winter.
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Truth
So...I think you're right...but you're actually right in a way that kinda keeps me up at night.
Fun fact I think about sometimes is that being a manager at a local bank actually used to be a relatively big deal because it was sort of up to your discretion when and who to give out loans to. Eventually this entire vetting process was completely supplanted by the credit score and bank managers became glorified sales reps. Physical bank locations themselves, at this point, have become almost laughable in how redundant they are.
They and the positions filling them have, in fact, become automated.
People talk about the automation revolution being bunk but from my perspective it's actually just happening in the reverse order a lot of people imagined.
One of the reasons I think a lot of middle and even upper management types are so defensive about their positions is that deep down they know (especially as compared to their counterparts generations ago) they don't actually do or contribute anything.
Because the truth is that crunching numbers, running logistics, and solving case instances based on provided situations is and always has been the thing that computers excel at. The computers mostly took over those jobs years ago.