I could of course be incorrect, but I actually don't expect too much disruption.
Recently circulating strains are pretty mild, especially for younger working age people. The potential for long-COVID effects to compound at the population level are the main risk which won't cause any sudden and unexpected disruptions in the near term.
At the moment Western media are frothing over what was absolutely a planned rollback of restrictions, possibly accelerated slightly by some small protests. My colleagues and my partner's family in China haven't mentioned any recent changes other than starting a couple weeks ago needing to test less often (Fujian & Shanghai for what it's worth).
I haven't seen any actual studies suggesting strains are getting less lethal or less damaging. Just a lot of talking heads in media. In the absence of actual data I'd guess that it's about half actual lies and half all the most vulnerable people died years ago.
Like if you plotted the lethality of bullets over time it would go down noticeably after you'd shot everyone who wasn't hiding in cover.
I could of course be incorrect, but I actually don't expect too much disruption.
Recently circulating strains are pretty mild, especially for younger working age people. The potential for long-COVID effects to compound at the population level are the main risk which won't cause any sudden and unexpected disruptions in the near term.
At the moment Western media are frothing over what was absolutely a planned rollback of restrictions, possibly accelerated slightly by some small protests. My colleagues and my partner's family in China haven't mentioned any recent changes other than starting a couple weeks ago needing to test less often (Fujian & Shanghai for what it's worth).
:doubt:
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I haven't seen any actual studies suggesting strains are getting less lethal or less damaging. Just a lot of talking heads in media. In the absence of actual data I'd guess that it's about half actual lies and half all the most vulnerable people died years ago.
Like if you plotted the lethality of bullets over time it would go down noticeably after you'd shot everyone who wasn't hiding in cover.