This poll is wild. Head to head Biden wins under 35s by less than three points. He is up 15 points with 65+. A bunch of the other cross-tabs look basically plausible.

Biden is +5 in the suburbs (+19 with suburban women), +27 with “moderates” (self-ID), and wins 40% of rural whites. If you assume that under-35s are basically impossible to accurately poll in this era the guts of this thing spell an absolute collapse for Trump.

https://subium.com/profile/rickywlmsbong.bsky.social/post/3kvcydtkdos2q

Fox News Poll: Three-point shift in Biden-Trump matchup since May | Fox News

  • GVAGUY3 [he/him]
    ·
    6 months ago

    don't underestimate Normal Whites

    Yeah, I've been thinking this since 2022. I can see a situation where Biden wins, but I think it depends on how weird the GOP gets in the general election. I still think it is the GOP's to lose.

    • carpoftruth [any, any]
      ·
      6 months ago

      I think it's 60/40 in favour of Biden. Trump isn't new anymore and he's proven to be a loser. I don't feel strongly about this prediction though. I don't spend time looking at polls anymore.