I really hope that the DPRK knows what it's doing. I'm sure they do, and I won't pretend to know better. This is almost definitely a trap though, Fake Korea deliberately provoking the DPRK more than usual to entice conflict, then the collective west can point to the DPRK as the aggressor.
I hope that the DPRK, if this does lead to escalation, sees a lull in Amerikkkan imperialist colonialism, to where the DPRK can strike back.
America can't afford a 3rd front right now, they don't want anything to distract them from their holy crusade in the Middle East against Iran. It's actually a perfect time for DPRK to apply pressure, they can get a lot of concessions because America is spread too thin
You know how US is, they might try limited conventional conflict using only standing assets plus ROK and Japanese reinforments counting on Chinese and Russian nonintervention. Point of this would be not even to conquer DPRK but to tighten leash on ROK and Japan. Or maybe they completely flied off and are trying to test the defensive alliance DPRK and Russia signed few weeks ago.
I think it's more than just the US at this point though. 'western' capitalist countries are all in the same situation. UK, France, Canada... They understand the threat of BRICS to their previous economic hegemony, and there's nothing like a world war to kickstart the economy amirite
When there are joint exercises between USA and ROK, those are mere inches away from actual invasion. It's been this way for many years, and DPRK has just had to cope by being combat ready at nearly all times.
This is a new level of combat readiness. Without the roads and rail, ROK can't use them in an invasion. This makes DPRK more defensible.
The US has mobile bridge units and rebuilding corps for crossing areas and exceptional experience in doing this kind of work over the past 70 years. Let's recall for example the battle at Lake Changjin so well depicted in recent Chinese cinema. The reason that Chinese forces didn't eliminate US troops there is because the US flew a bridge or parts of it straight from Japan to the battlefront to give them an evac route after the Chinese blew up the original bridge. That's the kind of force they're dealing with. So at best it slightly slows them down. Mining does a lot more but one must consider that the US and occupied Korea may not even try to use land routes for the first few weeks of conflict. In the original Korean war turn-about for the running dogs of imperial Japan/US was achieved via massive naval landings and use of air power. Given how much coast Korea has I think that's probably part of any strategy.
In my opinion it's as much about sending a message in the vein of closing off roads, burning bridges, that kind of thing of their resolve about the south being a hostile and threatening state.
Something like 2 or 3 years ago Kim announced they are tuning down military expenses because nukes made them safer. I don't know for sure if they really did, but this looks like a response for this, and exactly in time needed to demobilise some military.
Earlier this year Korea announced it was abandoning it's policy of unification stating that unification is impossible while the South is occupied by the USA. This seems to be an expansion of that policy change, likely based on recon.
Fake Korea has been unnecessarily hostile with the drone shit as of late. You can tell that they're looking for a conflict.
I really hope that the DPRK knows what it's doing. I'm sure they do, and I won't pretend to know better. This is almost definitely a trap though, Fake Korea deliberately provoking the DPRK more than usual to entice conflict, then the collective west can point to the DPRK as the aggressor.
I hope that the DPRK, if this does lead to escalation, sees a lull in Amerikkkan imperialist colonialism, to where the DPRK can strike back.
America can't afford a 3rd front right now, they don't want anything to distract them from their holy crusade in the Middle East against Iran. It's actually a perfect time for DPRK to apply pressure, they can get a lot of concessions because America is spread too thin
You know how US is, they might try limited conventional conflict using only standing assets plus ROK and Japanese reinforments counting on Chinese and Russian nonintervention. Point of this would be not even to conquer DPRK but to tighten leash on ROK and Japan. Or maybe they completely flied off and are trying to test the defensive alliance DPRK and Russia signed few weeks ago.
I think it's more than just the US at this point though. 'western' capitalist countries are all in the same situation. UK, France, Canada... They understand the threat of BRICS to their previous economic hegemony, and there's nothing like a world war to kickstart the economy amirite
When there are joint exercises between USA and ROK, those are mere inches away from actual invasion. It's been this way for many years, and DPRK has just had to cope by being combat ready at nearly all times.
This is a new level of combat readiness. Without the roads and rail, ROK can't use them in an invasion. This makes DPRK more defensible.
Only somewhat IMO.
The US has mobile bridge units and rebuilding corps for crossing areas and exceptional experience in doing this kind of work over the past 70 years. Let's recall for example the battle at Lake Changjin so well depicted in recent Chinese cinema. The reason that Chinese forces didn't eliminate US troops there is because the US flew a bridge or parts of it straight from Japan to the battlefront to give them an evac route after the Chinese blew up the original bridge. That's the kind of force they're dealing with. So at best it slightly slows them down. Mining does a lot more but one must consider that the US and occupied Korea may not even try to use land routes for the first few weeks of conflict. In the original Korean war turn-about for the running dogs of imperial Japan/US was achieved via massive naval landings and use of air power. Given how much coast Korea has I think that's probably part of any strategy.
In my opinion it's as much about sending a message in the vein of closing off roads, burning bridges, that kind of thing of their resolve about the south being a hostile and threatening state.
Something like 2 or 3 years ago Kim announced they are tuning down military expenses because nukes made them safer. I don't know for sure if they really did, but this looks like a response for this, and exactly in time needed to demobilise some military.
Earlier this year Korea announced it was abandoning it's policy of unification stating that unification is impossible while the South is occupied by the USA. This seems to be an expansion of that policy change, likely based on recon.