https://xcancel.com/NateSilver538/status/1853673781350260902

  • NonWonderDog [he/him]
    ·
    5 hours ago

    Can someone explain to me why the hell he’s ever needed a monte-carlo analysis? The margin of error is gaussian, and it’s not like it’s running up against zero bounds when it’s 50/50, so why isn’t it just a linear equation?

    It’s just a linear equation, right? He does a monte-carlo so he can brag about running 80,000 simulations, not for any good reason, right?