i would actually guess it'd be somewhat backwards? wouldn't a higher proportion of vote-eligible US-citizens in countries less friendly to the US be attached to the diplomatic corps, NGOs, etc. while in western europe there would be more non-state affiliated yankees? assuming of course that bureaucrats and their families prefer dem technocrats, i think they tend to but i haven't checked

e: this makes it sound like average americans prefer trump, which isn't actually true. more like kamala would have the highest support in state-department demographics and dominate the wider samples by a weaker margin.