I think Biden wins handily but not like a blowout or anything; maybe like by the same amount Obama won by in 2012. I think there are a lot of people who overestimate Trump - he's an idiot who's bad at politics and got crazy lucky in 2016 by running against the most hated person in politics (plus the FBI launched a criminal investigation into her two weeks before Election Day).
Since then, Trump has completely failed at handling the pandemic (the most important issue), the economy is in the shitter, and Trump's final message is dunking on scientists and shouting about cancel culture. A competent fascist could destroy a milquetoast liberal like Biden, and if COVID didn't reveal just how incompetent Trump was this eleciton would be close. But Trump isn't a competent fascist, he's a big dumb idiot who had victory served to him on a silver platter but threw it away because he was mad Dr. Fauci has a better approval rating than him. Biden will win by 100 or 150 electoral votes, Dems will probably grab a slim Senate majority, and the Dems will fuck up wielding power again just like they did in 2009.
There also isn't any room for October surprises. RBG died and nobody gave a shit. The GOP tried a Hunter Biden investigation and nobody gave a shit. That's because the only issue anyone cares about is the deadly virus ravaging the country. Trump will lose because he failed on COVID.
I think Biden wins handily but not like a blowout or anything; maybe like by the same amount Obama won by in 2012. I think there are a lot of people who overestimate Trump - he's an idiot who's bad at politics and got crazy lucky in 2016 by running against the most hated person in politics (plus the FBI launched a criminal investigation into her two weeks before Election Day).
Since then, Trump has completely failed at handling the pandemic (the most important issue), the economy is in the shitter, and Trump's final message is dunking on scientists and shouting about cancel culture. A competent fascist could destroy a milquetoast liberal like Biden, and if COVID didn't reveal just how incompetent Trump was this eleciton would be close. But Trump isn't a competent fascist, he's a big dumb idiot who had victory served to him on a silver platter but threw it away because he was mad Dr. Fauci has a better approval rating than him. Biden will win by 100 or 150 electoral votes, Dems will probably grab a slim Senate majority, and the Dems will fuck up wielding power again just like they did in 2009.
There also isn't any room for October surprises. RBG died and nobody gave a shit. The GOP tried a Hunter Biden investigation and nobody gave a shit. That's because the only issue anyone cares about is the deadly virus ravaging the country. Trump will lose because he failed on COVID.
agreed completely, the only way I see Trump winning is a 2000 election kinda thing