PA was only two points off in 2016, and polling there this time has been very consistent around 6 points Biden.
If there are two states to watch out for, it's AZ (the state that has voted GOP for 16 out of the last 17 elections) and Wisconsin, where polling was off in 2016 by EIGHT points. And to make it worse, polling in WI has been wild again this year.
This is my nightmare map: https://imgur.com/a/YvrW0R6
That toss-up in NE-2 is a recount that stretches into December, before going Biden. But at 269-269, Mike Pence is the next President.
PA was only two points off in 2016, and polling there this time has been very consistent around 6 points Biden.
If there are two states to watch out for, it's AZ (the state that has voted GOP for 16 out of the last 17 elections) and Wisconsin, where polling was off in 2016 by EIGHT points. And to make it worse, polling in WI has been wild again this year.
This is my nightmare map: https://imgur.com/a/YvrW0R6
That toss-up in NE-2 is a recount that stretches into December, before going Biden. But at 269-269, Mike Pence is the next President.