dinosaurtoaster [he/him]

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Joined 4 years ago
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Cake day: October 26th, 2020

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  • I'm not so sure about the 2022 Senate race. If you look at the map you see that Dems have pretty much no chance of losing a single seat (unless you think Mark Kelly could screw up his special term), and GOP has to defend at least seven seats. Ron Johnson, Roy Blunt are toast. Grassley will probably be dead by then. Toomey and Burr retiring. Murkowski always looks like she's toast but she's also got electoral magic powers so who knows.

    I agree about the House, though. Who would speaker even be? Kevin Mccarthy?







  • dinosaurtoaster [he/him]toelectoralism*Permanently Deleted*
    ·
    4 years ago

    PA was only two points off in 2016, and polling there this time has been very consistent around 6 points Biden.

    If there are two states to watch out for, it's AZ (the state that has voted GOP for 16 out of the last 17 elections) and Wisconsin, where polling was off in 2016 by EIGHT points. And to make it worse, polling in WI has been wild again this year.

    This is my nightmare map: https://imgur.com/a/YvrW0R6

    That toss-up in NE-2 is a recount that stretches into December, before going Biden. But at 269-269, Mike Pence is the next President.