Having crushed the opposition in Hong Kong, China is moving against Taiwan. The island's military is in bad shape and it's unclear how the U.S. will respond.
Wouldn't it be the other way around? I.e. the current United States regime is badly losing against an uprising and decided to flee to Hawaii. Rather than do a final assault on Hawaii, the revolutionaries decide to consolidate (and intervene on the behalf on revolutionaries in Mexico!). Meanwhile the entire capitalist world pretends that the remains of the former U.S. state in Hawaii is the sovereign government of the whole United States for the next 20 years, and the biggest imperialist power of the time makes a military alliance with the U.S. state in Hawaii and builds military bases there, etc. Eventually, it's been 70 years and the original criminals in the old US regime are dead and the whole thing is muddled.
The PRC's aggressive policy towards Taiwan long predates Deng. In the 1950s they even shelled Taiwan on two occasions collectively known as the Taiwan Straight crises. Back then it was pretty obviously a continuation of the civil war, but it is true that after so much time, and the end of the KMT dictatorship. I'm not terribly familiar with the polling data, but from what is immediately available, it shows that the majority of the Taiwanese people favor maintaining the status quo, and this pew poll indicates that many favor strengthening ties with the United States over mainland China (https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2020/05/12/in-taiwan-views-of-mainland-china-mostly-negative/). That said, polling isn't the end of everything. After all, I imagine if they conducted a poll in the US about dissolving the state and instilling socialism, it wouldn't do too well either for a variety of reasons. Initially, the war on Iraq had high polling support in the United States as well. Polling isn't everything (and if it was, people would be forced to acknowledge the high level of popular support for the Chinese government within the mainland.)
A thing that doesn't get talked about much in the Aglosphere at least in the colonial history of Taiwan and the subsequent need for decolonization. I'll happily support a socialist uprising by the Taiwanese people independent from both the PRC and the United States, but I feel no sympathy for the Taiwanese neoliberal state and it's function for the United States as a mean to project power in it's imperialism.
Wouldn't it be the other way around? I.e. the current United States regime is badly losing against an uprising and decided to flee to Hawaii. Rather than do a final assault on Hawaii, the revolutionaries decide to consolidate (and intervene on the behalf on revolutionaries in Mexico!). Meanwhile the entire capitalist world pretends that the remains of the former U.S. state in Hawaii is the sovereign government of the whole United States for the next 20 years, and the biggest imperialist power of the time makes a military alliance with the U.S. state in Hawaii and builds military bases there, etc. Eventually, it's been 70 years and the original criminals in the old US regime are dead and the whole thing is muddled.
The PRC's aggressive policy towards Taiwan long predates Deng. In the 1950s they even shelled Taiwan on two occasions collectively known as the Taiwan Straight crises. Back then it was pretty obviously a continuation of the civil war, but it is true that after so much time, and the end of the KMT dictatorship. I'm not terribly familiar with the polling data, but from what is immediately available, it shows that the majority of the Taiwanese people favor maintaining the status quo, and this pew poll indicates that many favor strengthening ties with the United States over mainland China (https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2020/05/12/in-taiwan-views-of-mainland-china-mostly-negative/). That said, polling isn't the end of everything. After all, I imagine if they conducted a poll in the US about dissolving the state and instilling socialism, it wouldn't do too well either for a variety of reasons. Initially, the war on Iraq had high polling support in the United States as well. Polling isn't everything (and if it was, people would be forced to acknowledge the high level of popular support for the Chinese government within the mainland.)
A thing that doesn't get talked about much in the Aglosphere at least in the colonial history of Taiwan and the subsequent need for decolonization. I'll happily support a socialist uprising by the Taiwanese people independent from both the PRC and the United States, but I feel no sympathy for the Taiwanese neoliberal state and it's function for the United States as a mean to project power in it's imperialism.