Title is a reference to Resistance imagery about how Israeli soldiers will enter Gaza alive but leave it in coffins - the same is true for American soldiers in the Middle East if the regional war expands.

The image is of the Fattah-1 Iranian hypersonic ballistic missile, which its creators boast can overcome any missile defense system on the planet, has a range of 1400 kilometers (and thus Iran can strike Israel), and has a terminal impact velocity of Mach 13.


Dozens of American soldiers have been injured and 3 have been killed on a base in the Middle East. There has been confused reports about whether the attack was on Syrian territory or Jordan's - the Al-Tanf base is in Syria, but Tower-22 in Jordan is another base that helps supply Al-Tanf, and Tower-22 is the one that is alleged to have been hit. These is the first confirmed deaths of American troops since the conflict began, though it's not likely that this is actually the first deaths after hundreds of drone/missile strikes throughout the region on American bases, unless you think American soldiers are having extremely timely heart attacks just after a missile hits.

The attack is certainly impactful, though it does also have considerably symbolism. Courtesy of John Helmer:

The operational success of the strike for the attackers is strategic. Tower-22 is a logistics, supply, and rear guard post for the Al-Tanf base which US troops are operating thirty kilometres north across the border in Syria. The attack demonstrates that both Tower-22 and Al-Tanf, Jordan and Syria, are newly vulnerable to weapons which the US forces have failed to detect and neutralize. Just as significantly, the massive US airbase called Muwaffaq Salti, 230 kilometres west across Jordan, is also vulnerable now.

It indicates that Iran now possesses Russian expertise in countering American equipment:

“This is a significant accomplishment,” one of the sources said. “Was the bypassing of the US air defence system at Tower-22 pulled off with Russian assistance? US bases generally rely on the C-RAM [Counter Rocket, Artillery and Mortar] system. It was sent to Ukraine last year where the Russians have been learning to defeat it. What now of American EW [electronic warfare]? They’ve been doing a fair job of knocking drones down up to now. It seems a ‘coincidence’ that, not a week after the meetings in Moscow with Arabs and Iranians, we see this success. It’s a success the circumstances of which, we can be sure, Biden and Austin are not keen to advertise.”

I am putting my take on the table right now: I am 99% certain that the US won't attack Iran directly. I think we are still quite a while away from that being a possibility. Much more likely is that Iranian officials in Iraq or Syria will be hit by a retaliatory strike, as Israel has done recently. It is a significant escalation nonetheless. And it comes as Israel seems to be gearing up for a suicidal war with Hezbollah.


The Country of the Week is Iran! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Updates continue to be AWOL - but I am cooking something. Hopefully.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Dessa [she/her]
    ·
    8 months ago

    Fresh battle video slop for you violence lovers. CW: A very clear sniper kill https://streamable.com/8kdgkk

    • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
      hexagon
      M
      ·
      8 months ago

      The IOF was merely demonstrating its extremely professional special forces manuever called "Standing Around In The Middle Of A Fucking Urban Warzone In The Open"

      you wouldn't understand it, it takes many years for a military force to learn a tactic so strategic and effective

      we denounce the cowardice of the Hamas terrorists who desperately improvise counters like "just firing at them lol"

      • TheCaconym [any]
        ·
        8 months ago

        Half the time there are actual IDF soldiers well visible in these videos they look and act like they think they're at the beach or something, it's truly mind-boggling

        • Frank [he/him, he/him]
          ·
          8 months ago

          The sniper could be a very, very long distance away.

          I'm told that among US troops in Vietnam the highest casualty rates were heavily clustered at troops who just deployed, and troops who were about to rotate out - New people did stupid shit and got got, guys who were fixated on leaving go sloppy. The IDF are a bunch of conscripts who have been acting as terror cops rather than soldiers, a lot of them probably don't have a real grasp on how to do soldiering.

      • glans [it/its]
        ·
        8 months ago

        idk how shit about how any military works. but I watched that video and I just was thinking these people must have pissed off their managers. you'd never send (even allow) someone you liked to go do something like that right?

        • bbnh69420 [she/her, they/them]
          ·
          8 months ago

          Even if you’re deployed to the Gaza frontline, you gotta know better than to stay in the open like that. Idk if it’s my personal anxiety, but I’d be fucking terrified of something like this happening

          • Commiejones [comrade/them, he/him]
            ·
            8 months ago

            Propaganda has the IDF thinking that Hamas can only throw rocks at them 99% of the time. They probably don't even think that snipers are real. Those 2 dummies will tell their friends and they'll just say "it was a lucky shot. some sandal wearing goat herder fired a whole clip from his grandpa's AK in your direction from 500m and only one bullet even got close to you."

          • Frank [he/him, he/him]
            ·
            8 months ago

            Nah, snipers are legit terrifying. There's nothing you can do if you're being targeted. It's extremely difficult to determine even very roughly where the shooter is. Most of the time sniper are supposed to shoot and scoot - take one accurate shot then leave the area or move to a new firing position. There are high tech systems that use microphones and the Doppler effect to determine where an incoming shot came from, and they apparently work quite well, but we've seen how Israel's wunderwaffen have been fairing.

            The correct way to deal with a sniper is to figure out roughly which direction they're in, pick a building that looks threatening, and call down artillery to flatten the entire block until the shooting stops.

            • bbnh69420 [she/her, they/them]
              ·
              8 months ago

              All of that can be true, and also, we’ve seen IOF troops act w remarkable impunity in Gaza and I see this as another example

    • Frank [he/him, he/him]
      ·
      edit-2
      8 months ago

      I would once again like to ask people to be extremely cautious about viewing combat footage and to avoid it unless they have a specific praxis related reason to be viewing it. Watching wartime violence will have a damaging psychological effect on you and cause trauma, and we need you as fit and healthy as possible so you can do praxis shit here that will be far more helpful than watching video of atrocities could ever be.

      That said, if the rifle in the video is the one they used to shoot the guy, that appears to be a 12.7mm (.50cal) or very similar cartridge, craft made rifle of a type that's been produced in Syria for years now. Apparently they use the barrels of old AA guns and heavy machine guns. It looks like he took the shot high in the torso, possibly in the plates. But that won't help him - And 12.7mm rounds, whether it's the US or WP 12.7, will punch through any personal body armor that exists effortlessly. If the video depicts what actually happened that dude is probably completely fucked. Getting hit with a 12.7 round is extremely unsurvivable. There are very few sniper rifles, production or craft made, that use rounds bigger than 12.7mm. I'm really only aware of two mass production rifles - one from South Africa that can chamber 14.5mm heavy machine gun rounds or 20mm rounds, one from I think Serbia, and some craft made rifles from the US that can do various heavy machine gun and cannon caliber rounds if you get all the right paperwork.

      There are two major groups of 12.7mm ammo in the world - NATO mostly uses .50 BMG, Browning Machine Gun, which is a 12.7mm x 99mm casing. The former Warsaw Pact countries and everyone who buys or builds shit from them uses a 12.7mm x 108mm round. Both were designed for use in heavy machineguns, in the case of the US the venerable Browning M2, and are intended to defeat aircraft, soft vehicles, lightly armored APCs, and anything squishier than a lightly armored APC. The idea of a .50 cal sniper rifle is famous with the freeze-gamer crowd.

      From what I understand during the course of Syrian civil war, and later the war against ISIS, local gunsmiths began producing high caliber sniper rifles by cutting down and re-working the barrels of old heavy machine guns or anti-aircraft guns that weren't otherwise being used. The barrels are fitted to fairly common layout for a large caliber rifle, basically a big hunting rifle. AFAIK the primary use case was having a really big gun that could reliably defeat VBIEDs (Vehicle Born Improvised Explosive Device), ie a guy driving a truck full of high explosives towards your base. Large caliber rifles are also useful in urban warfare as they can punch holes through residential buildings much more effectively than smaller rounds, allowing the shooter to kill or harass people who would otherwise be difficult to get at. And snipers in general are a potent terror weapon.

      .50bmg or 12.7x99 rifles are also good for damaging or disabling vehicles, equipment, materiel, basically anything they can hit from a long, long way off. It's a cheap and efficient way to knock out the engine of a vehicle or destroy radio equipment from a long way off without using a rocket. There are a lot of different kinds of ammo available, including rounds with all different combinations of armor piercing bullets, small high explosive charges, and incendiary charges. I think there's even one that punches through armor, lights stuff on fire, and then explodes which is great when you want to do one of those holywood gasoline explosions by targetting a fuel tank of some kind.

      That's everything I can contribute. Thanks for attending "Frank hypocritcally watched the video after telling everyone not to then analyzed the video based on his extensive experience as a :gamer: and American gun humper".

      • Dessa [she/her]
        ·
        8 months ago

        Yeah, that's called the "Ghoul" rifle, named after a martyr Al-Qassam brigades has shown footage of Hamas manufacturing parts of it in the tunnels.

      • CredibleBattery [he/him, comrade/them]
        ·
        edit-2
        8 months ago

        Dunno abut the rifle itself, but the guy got hit in the back of the neck and dropped like a ragdoll, that's basically 100% dead or at best, completely paralyzed from the neck down

        • flan [they/them]
          ·
          8 months ago

          kinda looks like he got hit in the back, either way he was probably dead before he hit the ground

      • skeletorsass [she/her]
        ·
        edit-2
        8 months ago

        This rifle purpose is to shoot through an object like a car. He is very dead. Sayyad rifle.