Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.
The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.
Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.
I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.
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The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
That's a quick way to get nuked or have a massive joint American-Israeli bombing campaign destroy the entirety of Lebanon.
But the whole point of their missiles was specifically to stop this situation from occurring, ie Israel bombing with impunity.
Realistically, the only thing that would stop Israel bombing with impunity would be for Hezbollah to confront the Israeli Air Force with modern air defence systems, and start shooting their planes down. Unfortunately Hezbollah do not have this capability. The missile threat was always an asymmetric deterrence or trump card Hezbollah and the rest of the resistance had, to try scare Israel from doing such operations. But at the end of the day if Israel wants to fly their warplanes over a country and bomb it, there is not much the resistance can do with their current capabilities to directly stop the modern US warplanes Israel has. It is important to be realistic about the current capabilities of the resistance in this regard.
israel is so small, is it not viable to destroy their planes at air bases? I hate feeling so ignorant about all this I honestly don't have any clue what makes something militarily viable or not and i dont even really know how to learn besides vague osmosis
Israel's air bases are heavily protected by arrow hypersonic interceptors, david's sling (an improved Patriot system/patriot replacement), the warplanes themselves can shoot down incoming missiles, etc. And any major attack on an Israeli airbase would involve the US and UK mobilising rapidly to protect it and shoot down incoming missiles and drones. A saturation attack could work as shown by Iran earlier this year, but that requires a lot of co-ordination and planning, to fire hundreds of missiles and drones at the correct times. The planes themselves are also likely stored in concrete hangars designed to withstand strikes when not performing missions, so you'd need a lot of ordinance or specialised bunker buster warheads to take one out while it's in a protected hangar. It's a highly complex operation, and given Hezbollah's current arsenal, maybe not the most feasible.
Lebanon is fucked without Iranian support and we all know israel is willing to use nukes unlike apartheid south africa.
Also Israel has a viable way to deliver those nuclear weapons to any capital city in the world through inter continental ballistic missiles and stealth jets, apartheid South Africa didn't. All apartheid South Africa had were 1950s warplanes to deliver the nuclear bombs, which would easily be shot down by Cuban and Soviet air defence systems and fighters. This meant that the nuclear weapons could only be used internally, and/or as a negotiation tool. Such is obviously not the case for Israel.
Awfully convenient then that America was going to allow Saudi Arabia to start its own nuclear energy program...