Basically, what it comes down to is: In my heart of hearts, I just don't believe that a revolution will happen in my lifetime, even if I live to be an old-ass man.
So if I were to just go all-in on hoping for revolution as opposed to anything electoralism-related, in my brain, I'd pretty much be admitting to myself that I personally won't live to see anything get really significantly better, that when I die everything's still gonna suck or be even worse than when I was born.
And I guess I just can't bear to admit that to myself.
Frankly I think one of the most realistic outcomes (at least in the US/west) is that a UBI gets implemented in a round of "please don't overthrow us" concessions once automation gets really out of hand and we can't create enough bullshit jobs to cover the demand for jobs. Wouldn't be so bad (for its beneficiaries in the west, less so for the global south) and would probably stave off a revolution for as long as capitalism can sustain itself uninhibited. The west has repeatedly shown willingness to offer concessions to stop revolutions, I don't think this would be different unless for knowledge of the past ones.
In the US, we are due for a potentially revolution-triggering crisis within the next few decades since they happen roughly every 90 years. So, either expect some nice new welfare programs, or the final struggle. Probably nice welfare programs though.
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Imo the 90 year cycles stuff is basically astrology for history buffs anyways...
I think it's mostly bullshit, but there is something to say about the period of 70-90 years being about the time it takes for former crises to drift completely out of living memory.
I mean that the average life span, so it would make sense that the generation who experienced the crises dying would lead to the memory of the crises fading
I'm counting the American Revolution and Civil War as well. For bonus points there was also the Glorious Revolution back across the pond in 1688, but I don't know what standing effects that had on the colonies.
Um, a lot, a few revolts, the beginning of the Stuart emigration that peaked after the '45 etc.
To speak of nothing about the increasingly frequent economic collapses right? Such a crisis could be sooner down the road with how many “bust cycles” are occurring.