The @PHE_uk report today paints a grim picture - TL;DR:-delta variant has almost replaced the beta variant in much of England- 50-60% more transmissible- ~2.5x higher risk of hospitalisations- Schools appear to be a key area of spread with many large no.s of clusters 🧵— Deepti Gurdasani (@dgurdasani1) June 3, 2021
Death rates are going to increase simply because of math. If you figure humans live to be 85-90 years old on average, and the population is not growing (i.e. births equal deaths), then about 1/90th of the population, 11-12 per 1000, has to die every year. Right now, only about 7-8 per 1000 die every year (even with covid it was less than 9/1000). That's a big change that we're going to have to make in our society, Covid variants or not.
Death rates are going to increase simply because of math. If you figure humans live to be 85-90 years old on average, and the population is not growing (i.e. births equal deaths), then about 1/90th of the population, 11-12 per 1000, has to die every year. Right now, only about 7-8 per 1000 die every year (even with covid it was less than 9/1000). That's a big change that we're going to have to make in our society, Covid variants or not.