On the one hand, we're seeing the consent manufactury kick into overdrive and a lot of state department goblins seem to be absolutely itching for a fresh round of meddling. Cuba as a client state would open the door to all manner of renewed imperial nightmares in the carribean and South America.
On the other hand, it feels like most people's reception of the situation outside of dedicated chuds and Floridians (but I repeat myself) is muted, and I've already seen a few small anti-intervention protests pop up. After two decades of war, with a domestic civil society whose coherency is hanging by a thread and a global presence that is increasingly challenged, I feel like a flubbed regime change effort there would be the true beginning of the end for the U.S.' empire.
If this is a dumb-dumb take, please don't hesitate to tell me so.
You're not wrong that this would be one of the last interventions the US would take, but I think it'll probably fizzle out as the Cuban govt retakes control and things fall by the wayside. I don't think there's enough popular appetite for it, and they could've done the same for Venezuela or Cuba itself decades ago.
Yeah, in my area maybe like 1 in 5 people even know there's something going on in Cuba, and of those maybe half care, one way or the other.