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  • Owl [he/him]
    ·
    3 years ago

    It means that if you dropped the average person with Covid Classic into a completely unexposed, unvaccinated population, they'd infect 4 people, but if they had Covid Delta they'd infect 6.

    No difference between two numbers is exponential. 2 → 4 → 6 → 8 → 10 is linear. 2 → 4 → 8 → 16 → 32 is exponential. 2 → 4 is nothing.

    • aaaaaaadjsf [he/him, comrade/them]
      ·
      3 years ago

      Problem is they're estimating the R0 of Covid delta between 5 and 9, which is uhh very not good if it turns out to be closer to the upper bound

      • Pezevenk [he/him]
        ·
        3 years ago

        R0 isn't some stable thing, contrary to popular belief. It is influenced by how people behave and environmental factors.