The US is obviously on the decline and in some ways it has already collapsed, but I'm talking about the timeline for the end of the collapse, not the beginning. It's tempting to believe itll happen in my lifetime, but i fear that might just be cope on my part. I hope I'll be alive to witness the death of the thing I hate most in the world, but it feels a bit like millenarianism to confidently state "hell yeah, the final collapse is gonna happen during my lifetime," so I'm hesitant to hold out hope for it. Every time I've hoped for anything, it hasn't happened.
Do you think the US can resist balkanization and/or another form of the collapse of state power for 20 more years? 50? 100? What do you think will be the straw that breaks the camel's back, and why? How do you think power will reorganize in the aftermath? Sound off in the comments below, and don't forget to like and subscribe.
At first I arrived at the same conclusion about thinking it would happen anytime soon being cope, but then I remembered the early parts of the pandemic when all the states were stealing covid supplies from each other and having to hide them from the feds who were stealing supplies to resell.
If that is where the underlying relationship between states and the federal government is at I could see a big enough shock setting off balkanization, such as water shortages or other events where the contested supplies are more desperately needed.
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One of my guesses is power outages. Twice in the last year, both with hurricane Ida and the Texas winter storm, we were a couple minutes and a couple slightly different decisions away from tens of millions of people losing electricity for months. I bet the heat wave in the PNW wasn't great either, I know there were a lot of temporary/rolling blackouts. We got lucky those times, but how many more times will we get lucky?