There's already a thing going on in Washington where Trump says he's sending troops and Inslee says he can't. And I don't think Inslee is cool enough to keep pushing back on that under pressure, but something has to come of it, and that makes prediction timelines really complicated. (And, as I said elsewhere in this thread, I don't think the eviction crisis is going to really take off for another few months, so there's time to make it even more complicated.)