I ask this genuinely: can you give me some examples of weather being more extreme and less predictable in the past 100 years than the 100 years before that? It feels like it's unlikely we have accurate earth-wide weather reporting from the past 200 years that would be an apples-to-apples comparison. And I find it difficult to believe we can take a sample of only a few decades and make any sort of long term prediction out of it since virtually nothing else works that way.
poster didn't say anything about weather now compared to the past. It's about changes scientists expected as the planet heats up compared to changes actually observed. Glacier melt, sea ice extent, stuff like that. Things are happening more rapidly and in ways that hadn't been expected.
It’s not the weather, though weather patterns can and will change as well as ocean temperatures change. It’s the gradual change in climate that will be the driving factor. We aren’t trying to predict weather, we are predicting long term climate and that has become a massive challenge
I ask this genuinely: can you give me some examples of weather being more extreme and less predictable in the past 100 years than the 100 years before that? It feels like it's unlikely we have accurate earth-wide weather reporting from the past 200 years that would be an apples-to-apples comparison. And I find it difficult to believe we can take a sample of only a few decades and make any sort of long term prediction out of it since virtually nothing else works that way.
poster didn't say anything about weather now compared to the past. It's about changes scientists expected as the planet heats up compared to changes actually observed. Glacier melt, sea ice extent, stuff like that. Things are happening more rapidly and in ways that hadn't been expected.
It’s not the weather, though weather patterns can and will change as well as ocean temperatures change. It’s the gradual change in climate that will be the driving factor. We aren’t trying to predict weather, we are predicting long term climate and that has become a massive challenge