Image is of the Te Pati Maori (Maori Party) cofounders, Rawiri Waititi and Debbie Ngarewa-Packer. They have 6 of the 123 seats in the New Zealand parliament.


Officially confirming that the Republican primaries were a gigantic waste of time for everybody involved, Trump has massively beat everybody else in Iowa, and will very obviously be the Republican candidate for 2024. Given the abysmal state of the US economy (for everybody who isn't in the top 1-10%, which is mainly what national statistics reflect when they aren't telling blatant falsehoods), it's more plausible than ever that Trump may indeed once again become President - though I personally refuse to predict one way or another due to how volatile politics and geopolitics currently are. Project 2025 is coming, folks - either as the official Republican governance program, or as what the Democrats will do in 2026 after the midterms, stating that they have no other choice and have to reach across the aisle as they are the Adults In The Room™.

In other news...

Late last year, New Zealand voted in a new and very right-wing government, composed of the center-right National Party, the libertarian ACT Party (ACT stands for the "Association of Consumers and Taxpayers", good lord), and the fascist New Zealand First party. By what I can tell, this was the well-trodden path of "Vaguely center-left party does neoliberal austerity and causes a recession and workers fucking hated it and voted in a different party out of desperation," though the flooding and cyclones did add challenges to Chris Hipkins' short reign after Jacinda Ardern resigned.

It's worth noting that Hipkins was at least fairly China-friendly, meeting up with Xi Jinping on a five-day visit in the summer. They still do the whole "We have concerns about human rights" thing, but of all the countries of the imperial core, New Zealand is - or, perhaps, was - one of the most amicable. In 2021, China was New Zealand's single largest trading partner, with a third of exports going to China (more than Australia, the US, Japan, and South Korea combined), and they receive 22% of their imports from China too, more than any other single country.

Christopher Luxon, the new Prime Minister and sentient thumb, has said that he is exploring a closer relationship with AUKUS:

Luxon said New Zealand was interested in becoming involved in AUKUS Pillar 2: a commitment between the three partners to develop and share advanced military capabilities, including artificial intelligence, electronic warfare and hypersonics.

“We’ll work our way through that over the course of next year as we understand it more and think about what the opportunities may be for us,” Luxon said. “AUKUS is a very important element in ensuring we’ve got stability and peace in the region.”

This is not to say that Hipkins wanted nothing to do with AUKUS or Western organizations aimed generally against China - in fact, pre election, "he was open to conversations about joining Pillar II of AUKUS". But the current government is pushing down on the accelerator pedal.

The left-wing Maori party, Te Pati Maori, has stated that they want New Zealand to remain non-aligned, as joining AUKUS would erode the sovereignty of the country:

As Maori we cannot allow our sovereignty to be determined by others, whether they are in Canberra or Washington. Aotearoa should not act as Pacific spy base in the wars of imperial powers. Joining AUKUS will severely undermine our country’s sovereignty, constitution, and ability to remain nuclear free. There is too much at stake for our government to make a commitment of this magnitude without a democratic process.

In general, the party leaders of Te Pati Maori want New Zealand to be the "Switzerland of the Pacific", which is perhaps not the greatest analogy given all the problems Switzerland had and has, but we understand the intended meaning of desiring neutrality.


The Country of the Week is New Zealand! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Kieselguhr [none/use name]
    ·
    10 months ago

    Liberal historians are being weird again.

    They correctly see certain facts (about the British intervention in the Russian Civil War):

    There was plenty of reason to see the intervention as nasty – for starters, lack of clear war aims, atrocities on which the Allies turned a blind eye, half-hearted support of reactionaries followed by ignominious betrayal – but the real reason it was judged so harshly was that it failed. Nothing substantive was achieved, while, as the British commander of Allied forces in the north, Edmund Ironside, noted at the time of the British withdrawal from North Russia in the autumn of 1919, the cost was to incur ‘the everlasting enmity of both sides – the Whites for deserting them, and the Reds for opposing them’.

    Exactly - it was hopeless and unnecessary.

    Apart from getting rid of the Bolsheviks, the aims of the Western intervention were remarkably ill-defined. Sometimes it was to protect British interests and keep the Germans, Turks, Poles, or Japanese imperial or territorial ambitions in check; sometimes to support ‘democratic forces’ in Russia, notably the transient Czechs; and sometimes just to back up the (anti-democratic) Whites.

    So the support of "democratic forces" was just posturing, in other words.

    A national claim the Allies did not support, however, was the Ukrainian one, or rather, any of the various Ukrainian claims that were on offer.

    the Allies essentially accepted the Poles’ argument that Ukrainian nationalism was German-inspired and incoherent, with little popular support. In Reid’s summation, although Ukrainians today ‘view the Allies’ failure to support them as a tragic missed opportunity’, ‘in truth the scoffers were probably right. Split, by the end of 1919, between two paper governments, one allied with the Poles against the Russians and the other the reverse, they did not have the leadership or unity to win power, even with outside military aid.’

    Sounds about right

    Reid’s encounter with widespread and virulent antisemitism – both as practised on the ground in Ukraine by Whites, Poles and Ukrainian nationalists, and as tacitly condoned by the Allies – was ‘one of the most jolting aspects of researching this book’. The first major pogroms of the Civil War were conducted in December 1918 by the Polish army after capturing Lviv from Ukrainian forces. The local British representative, setting a pattern that was often to be followed in subsequent months, ‘dismissed pogrom “rumours” as “grossly exaggerated”’. Antisemitism was a core component of White propaganda [..] Altogether, the pogroms of 1919 in Ukraine were on a scale ‘not seen since the Cossack rebellions of the 17th century’, but the Whites weren’t the only ones to blame: Symon Petilura’s and Nykyfor Hryhoriv’s Ukrainian forces, as well as Nestor Makhno’s anarchist ‘Greens’, were also heavily involved.

    and so on and so on. But then.

    Reid’s problem is that, recognising a degree of similarity in the two episodes of foreign involvement in war on Ukrainian territory, she holds diametrically opposed value judgments of them: the early 20th-century intervention on behalf of the Whites was pointless, but current Western support of Ukraine in a war started by the Russians is morally imperative and, in global political terms, necessary. Present-day Ukraine is a democratic or democratically aspiring country that ‘for all its faults ... really does deserve the world’s help’, she writes in the recent second edition of Borderland. ‘Betraying the country would be moral and strategic failure on a par with the crushed Hungarian Rising or Prague Spring – and with much less excuse.’

    It is so weird that liberals have this fundamental premise that Western powers have both the moral superiority and the means to sort out conflicts in far away lands. How is this different from the early XXth century British conception of a benign civilizing Empire? What kind of mental gymnastics they need to perform so that their heads don't split from the cognitive dissonance? How come they don't see the similarities that the Western powers are willing to support any kind of reactionary force so long as it is in their geopolitical interest? That they didn't give a shit about pogroms, because the main concern was to own the ‘the blood-stained, Jew-led Bolsheviks’? That they are supporting Azov just to hinder Putler?

    Perhaps the real takeaway from Reid’s history isn’t so much a lesson as a premonition: that not too far down the track, we could be witnessing a shamefaced withdrawal of Western support that leaves the Ukrainians – like the Russian Whites a century earlier – to sort out the mess with Moscow on their own.

    curious-marx

    • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
      hexagon
      ·
      10 months ago

      absolutely classic "we fucked up before, but THIS TIME it's actually fine and cool and good and it'll all work out"

      repeat until the empire collapses

      • nohaybanda [he/him]
        ·
        10 months ago

        Right? This stood out to me as well:

        the aims of the Western intervention were remarkably ill-defined.

        If shit was bad then it's 10x worse now. How are you defeating Putler? By the sheer PR power of Zelensky, self-defeating sanctions, and a cavalcade of wunderwaffen each more useless than the next?

        • zed_proclaimer [he/him]
          ·
          edit-2
          10 months ago

          I love the Liberal cope too that the West would be justified in going to war and would be more victorious if they just "defined the aims of intervention more clearly". Yeah, that's the problem with your imperialist wars, you aren't using the correct framing devices.

          Imperialist wars always have very strong aims that are well known by all parties directly involved in the conflict. Things like destroy opposing regime, insert puppet, acquire natural resource domination, get a foothold to start another project, destroying communism, etc. It's just that Liberal media and Liberal historians hate to admit to these things, so they come up with ideological veneers like "spreading democracy" that are ill-defined (purposefully). Then when the war wraps up they can pretend like it was a quagmire with nobody at the helm, when in fact it was a very sophisticated and purposefully orchestrated imperialist project the entire time.

          • Kieselguhr [none/use name]
            ·
            10 months ago

            I haven't read the book in question, but it seems like to problem with it is a typical liberal illness - it doesn't have the toolset of critical historical materialism. It sounds like Reid took the diaries, letters, journals and memoirs of British soldiers and politicians of the time and compiled them into a narrative, and yes, it could be the case the "aims of the war are ill-defined" when we read the letters of so-and-so, but the Empire is a Behemoth that doesn't need to be fully understood by its agents. It very well could be that General X thinks they are spreading democracy, but that doesn't matter in the end. Imperialism has its own logic.

            With that said there are cunning amoral pragmatic bastards as well, like Churchill, who fully understood that this was about Imperial interest not about Ideas. Or maybe even he himself has believed his speeches about 'democracy'.

    • Rod_Blagojevic [none/use name]
      ·
      edit-2
      10 months ago

      It's rare to see a liberal at least partially acknowledge that the revolution in Russia was against powers that were governing through antisemitic violence. I guess that's a plus. But to conclude the article by then saying that the whites should've received more support is insane. This is my biggest history narrative annoyance. The whites needed to be killed, not supported. Sacrificing jews so the richest people in the US and western Europe don't have a challenge to their hegemony is an absolutely abhorrent, but completely normalized liberal view of the Russian Revolution. FUCK THESE PEOPLE.

      The dangers of the white movement aren't even hypothetical. The leftovers of these forces immediately collaborated in the holocaust as a means to try to come back in to power.

    • Awoo [she/her]
      ·
      10 months ago

      I think from the perspective of liberals that sincerely believe they live in democracies their view that fighting Putin is morally correct is actually correct.

      The issue is that we marxists have an entirely different perspective, we don't see ourselves as living in democracies and see very little difference between the western state and the russian state. I am not even sure whether I agree that the western one is better, only perhaps culturally so (less conservative and regressive, particularly to lgbt people) but even that feels flimsy and weak and as if it could roll back at any moment. Other things are either slightly better or slightly worse there, hardly worth comparing.

      • Kieselguhr [none/use name]
        ·
        10 months ago

        That's true, but just calling it a different perspective makes it look more benign and naive than it actually is. They also purposefully lie and suppress factual narratives in the mainstream media, and they never use their own standards on their own power elite: Bush, Blair and the others never had their trial, even though they should be considered war criminals from even the liberal perspective.

        Powell lied at the UN to start a war that killed hundreds of thousands of civilians. Even if I view the facts as a philosophical liberal who reads and loves Popper, Rawls et al. it's still an enormous crime that went uninvestigated and unpunished. Or the way they talk or don't talk about Nord Stream, Israel etc.

        So yeah, some of them truly believe the West has the moral superiority, but it's the largest case of cognitive dissonance in history fuelled by deliberate propaganda. What's interesting is that some liberals truly grapple with this dissonance, while others just cynically incorporate a kind of racism of the Western Supremacy. The West is good therefore whatever the West does is good (That didn't happen. And if it did, it wasn't that bad. And if it was, that's not a big deal... etc.)

    • zed_proclaimer [he/him]
      ·
      edit-2
      10 months ago

      Before supporting reactionaries to destroy Russia was dumb because it fueled pogroms and never had a chance at success. Now supporting reactionaries to destroy Russia is smart because it fuels ethnic cleansing and totally has a very real chance at success (please ignore every media outlet opining about the upcoming Ukrainian defeat)

      Before we were lying when we said we were supporting democratic forces, but we're different now. Now we actually are the paragons of justice we pretended to be despite changing nothing.

      • voight [he/him, any]
        ·
        edit-2
        10 months ago

        The important thing is that we got to see a bunch of Russian saboteur families tied to trees and beaten. It was all worth it. It was cool of everyone to remark on that for one second before returning to posting pictures of western politicians and saying "damn he's ugly! vote left"

        • Awoo [she/her]
          ·
          10 months ago

          I still can't believe that whole thing was just completely ignored by basically all liberals.

          • voight [he/him, any]
            ·
            10 months ago

            It's not ISIS shit when eastern euros temporarily upgraded to official white people do it

          • voight [he/him, any]
            ·
            10 months ago

            Complete psychopaths who simply consider it "dishonorable" + proof of why leaving the post-Maidan government in charge of anything is unacceptable were better on this at times because liberals are more likely to be attached to online anti-obscenity filters.

          • voight [he/him, any]
            ·
            10 months ago

            Also shoutout to the "communist" who explained he didn't care about torture and began uncritically repeating POW-MIA myths about the Vietnamese to justify it, because he plans on supporting whatever Shining Path II comes around

    • Parzivus [any]
      ·
      10 months ago

      A liberal is someone who opposes all wars except the current one and supports all civils rights movements except the current one