Ukraine can speed run through this war by sending one of their shitty rockets over to the Poland border, say Russia did it and trigger NATO Involvement.
Fucking psychopaths
Ukraine can speed run through this war by sending one of their shitty rockets over to the Poland border, say Russia did it and trigger NATO Involvement.
Fucking psychopaths
Turkey is notorious about invoking article 4. But NATO did not rush into the fray against the Kurds. Or the Greeks for that matter (a weird one, since they were both NATO members).
I think there's a much bigger risk of one or two countries trying to pick a fight, thinking they've got NATO at their backs, only for the cavalry to never arrive. Like, the US might move in to bail Poland out if Russians decided to start nationalizing chunks west of Ukraine's furthest border. But I don't think Biden would come leaping to the defense of some Polish Charge of the Light Brigade into Ukrainian territory, for the same reason he hasn't been eager to back Ukraine directly to begin with.
The US is already spread thin and operating on absurd margins, thanks to privatization turning the Pentagon into a giant corporate piggy bank. I don't know if we could muster at the scale of Iraq again, much less Vietnam or Korea, given the real material limits on skilled labor and advanced electronics. Hell, what would a land war in Europe do to gas prices in the region? People in the UK are already seriously looking at £10/liter petrol.
Imagine doing to Eastern Europe what we did to the Middle East? Nobody in NATO actually wants that.