And small numbers. There was that survey recently where people had to estimate the populations of some groups, and they estimated about 20-30% of the population to be Jewis, or trans, when both populations are around 1-3%. The fallacy here being that "I know people from this group, so it mustn't be that rare". And of course, it isn't that rare! 1-3% of the population is relatively large, and if your friend group isn't overly homogeneous there's a very high probability you know at least one person belong to a "rare" category.
People's issue with relatively small numbers really bothers me for some reason, lol.
spot on. humans, generally speaking, have a hard time with statistics, large numbers, fractions...
And small numbers. There was that survey recently where people had to estimate the populations of some groups, and they estimated about 20-30% of the population to be Jewis, or trans, when both populations are around 1-3%. The fallacy here being that "I know people from this group, so it mustn't be that rare". And of course, it isn't that rare! 1-3% of the population is relatively large, and if your friend group isn't overly homogeneous there's a very high probability you know at least one person belong to a "rare" category.
People's issue with relatively small numbers really bothers me for some reason, lol.