Chance of a Biden Electoral college win if he wins the popular vote by X points:0-1 points: just 6%!1-2 points: 22%2-3 points: 46%3-4 points: 74%4-5 points: 89%5-6 points: 98%6-7 points: 99%— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 2, 2020
Pretty much guaranteed to win the popular vote. But running up the score in California still doesn't mean shit if you're losing Florida by the same 500 votes Al Gore did.
Pretty much guaranteed to win the popular vote. But running up the score in California still doesn't mean shit if you're losing Florida by the same 500 votes Al Gore did.