Chance of a Biden Electoral college win if he wins the popular vote by X points:0-1 points: just 6%!1-2 points: 22%2-3 points: 46%3-4 points: 74%4-5 points: 89%5-6 points: 98%6-7 points: 99%— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 2, 2020