With Russia outgunning Ukraine’s artillery at an estimated 15-1 it looks like the main tool for halting Russia’s advance is about to start running at marginal effectiveness. Ukraine’s main industrial hubs are either already occupied, have incredibly difficult issues with supply lines, or have sustained physical damage, and artillery has been one of Ukraine’s most effective tools at slowing the Russian advance. The fact that Ukraine is simply using this ammunition faster than the west is willing to donate and faster than Ukraine’s domestic production can keep up with does not bode well for their ability to mount a meaningful defense for much longer. The last aid package passed by the US bought Ukraine only about 2 weeks worth of artillery shells.
The thing that's been nibbling at me about the Javelins is something a commenter here pointed out in one of the Ukraine megathreads:
We still have yet to see a Javelin used. Like for all the propaganda and hooting and hollering about how based the Javelins are and cope cages and all that... there's not been (at least I haven't seen anyway, I may be talking out of my ass) a video of some Ukranians dunking on a T-72 with a Jav, or posing with one after a kill, or anything. Just wrecked tanks we're told were Javelin'd, and the cope cage meme.
This is purely anecdote, Doubly so bc I've been purposely avoiding combat footage, but I've only seen NLAWs and AT4 variants actually used, both of which are much lighter and easier to move weapon systems. And they were being used at point-blank range, not from stand-off distance where the Javelin excels as a platform.