Every other day I get an email from Nancy Pelosi saying that the Dems are ahead in this race or that race. Are they really doing that good? I can understand a bump from student loan forgiveness, but with literally everything else going on, I won't be too surprised if they end up eating shit.
Traditionally yes, but I think the overturn of Roe makes this a nontraditional year. The Democrats have significantly outperformed expectations in all 6 races post-Dobbs. The House is still likely gone (though I think the loss will be much lighter than expected, no "red wave"), but I think they hold the Senate. The Senate map is favorable to the Democrats and the Republicans have put awful candidates up in the races that will be close. Oz is hilariously out of touch, Masters has less charisma than the dirt under my toe (plus he's a psycho) and Walker looks like he was hit in the head way too many times. It's not so much Biden or his administration doing anything special as it is the Republicans fumbling the bag themselves.