I was vocal and terrified about climate change in the 90s (although I didn't do a whole lot). I was super active in the anti war stuff during the war on terror. I said repeatedly that Iraq had no WMDs and that Afghanistan wouldn't go well. I was sorta active during Occupy. I was telling everyone not to buy crypto years ago. And I've been very COVID outspoken from day one.
This post is not to brag about how based I am. I was very slow to get on the correct side of trans issues, and I've said/done enough borderline racist and misogynistic shit. I have enough cringe memories of me being a lib. I've also just been really lazy and selfish.
Anyhow, I had hoped that the right would be so wrong, so badly, that people would wake up and warm to our side. I used to actually do organised debates with different groups at uni. I even sent a few a FB message years after Iraq went to shit (ya I'm petty). None have been like "oh fuck, you were so right want the WMDs". When I'm battling friends over COVID issues or the newest bullshit trans conspiracy theory, THEY FUCKING KNOW I was right about crypto and Elon Musk. It's like, all the Ls that the right had taken are in the memory hole and we're onto the next bullshit idea. I'm still the lone crank that's warning about war with Russia and China and telling everyone to mask when my mates were smoking weed through every horrible murderous mistake the West made.
Sorry if it sounds like I'm whinging for my own sake. I get that the right is very well funded, and that is no individual's fault. I'm just very aware that people around me find me to be a tedious crank, but they're all fucking liberals who've been eating out of the trashcan of ideology their whole lives.
Ohh I said that Russia wouldn't invade all the way up to the end. So that's an L for me. But honestly making predictions on world events isn't the same as judging obvious imperialism in one's own country.
I try talking to libs. But sometimes I just need to let things go as I'm too damn tired to argue with them about something they won't change on.
Assuming Russia wouldn't invade was genuinely the smarter bet, even though it ultimately ended up being wrong. All the actual facts looked like the usual wargame dickwaving every major power does, while the people insisting an invasion was imminent had been doing so for years and have literally never been correct/told the truth about anything else.
That's true.
I started getting suspicious at the evacuation of Donetsk about a week before the war actually started. It seemed like a huge reaction to a state of war that's been basically stuck in the status quo for years.
Before that, I assumed the Status Quo would continue.
deleted by creator