Image is of Stepanakert, essentially the capital of Nagorno-Karabakh. It is now a ghost city, and Azerbaijan has recently torn down the parliament building and various other important places. Sourced from this article.


Despite the predictions and assertions of various NATO-aligned commentators that Russia's influence is waning, the opposite generally appears to be occurring. ASEAN has become more strongly aligned with Russia despite claims to the contrary. In Central Asia, there has been a propaganda push to declare that countries there are "emerging from Russia's shadow", while in reality, as Bhadrakumar analyzes, Russia's significant economic growth and ongoing march towards victory in Ukraine is creating opportunities for further integration, not separation, and there are no major political shifts there in terms of Russian ties. And in Niger, Russian soldiers have now entered an airbase which once hosted American soldiers, now kicked out, and generally Russia's diplomacy and economic deals (nuclear power plant construction, military equipment, grain shipments, etc) have accelerated in Africa.

Where Russia's influence has actually seemed to decrease (outside of the West, of course) is in Armenia. Nagorno-Karabakh's remarkably rapid collapse in late 2023 demonstrated that Russia was not willing to escalate things in defense of Armenia to fend off Azerbaijan. One hundred thousand Armenians - most but not all of them in the region - fled in advance to avoid mass persecution, which received remarkably little attention by a West which calls itself overwhelmingly concerned with borders changing due to military action as in Ukraine. Since then, Armenia seems to be on some kind of self-annihilating bender, allured by the potential of Western military and economic deals. Armenia froze its membership in the CSTO due to its failure to protect them, and the head of NATO, Stoltenberg, visited the region in March. The West has offered up hundreds of millions of dollars in assistance to Armenia and is helping them "modernize their military"; given the poor track record of Western military equipment in Ukraine, one wonders why they're even bothering. RAND has advocated for a balancing act; America should, in their eyes, realize that they can't entirely remove Russia's influence but nonetheless should make inroads to protect Armenia from Azerbaijan (which is an interesting position given that Israel provided arms to Azerbaijan to help them take Nagorno-Karabakh).

A quick look at Armenia's geographical position reveals the folly of trying to create some kind of Western outpost. With a hostile Azerbaijan to their east, a very unfriendly (albeit NATO member) Turkiye to their west, an ascendant Iran to their south, and Russia not far from the action, there is little hope of doing much more than causing a little chaos in the hopes it'll momentarily distract Russia while it makes inroads most everywhere else on the planet. The political situation appears miserable for Pashinyan, but there isn't really a popular alternative to take the reins. A truly cursed situation.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Armenia! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Teekeeus [comrade/them]
    ·
    2 months ago

    These fake concern for investments acting like the West and particularly the US are their biggest investors when that is not even the case for majority of ASEAN anymore.

    Economist high on their copium as usual. ASEAN is increasingly and extensively economically and industrially integrated with China.

    Ironically, singapore generally maintains relatively strong ties with China. Sorta like how Hungary is a key Chinese partner in the EU despite being a right-wing nato state

    I wonder why Malaysia didn't try harder to hold on to singapore.

    • Neptium [comrade/them]
      ·
      edit-2
      2 months ago

      I wonder why Malaysia didn't try harder to hold on to singapore.

      It was because of the political economy of Malaya at that time, bear in mind that Malaya only constituted modern-day peninsular Malaysia, with Eastern Malaysia (Sabah and Sarawak) and the Strait Settlements (Singapore, Melaka and Penang) being under seperate British administrations.

      The indirect rule practiced by the British in Malaya, meant that there was a largely indigenous feudal-monarchical class between the colonizers and the proletariat and peasants. Fast forward nearing independence day, the Malay-Muslim feudal classes in Malaya foresaw that they were going to take over an economy mainly owned by foreigners - namely, British colonialists and the Chinese and Indian middle classes. To guarantee further control of the country, they wanted Chinese-majority Singapore to be excluded from the federation. Sarawak and Sabah were then included to tip the demographic balance in the comprador Malay-Muslim class' favour. Back in those days the indigenous population only held a plural majority with no group having over 50% in Malaya and the Strait Settlements combined.

      It was the progressive left forces that were for unification. With British help, reactionary forces defeated the Left Forces, which included not only (Chinese) Communist elements but Islamic Socialist, anti-colonial movements, and militant labour unions, the banner of internationalism vis-a-vis Singapore/Malaysia federation was defeated.

      It should be known that the People's Action Party in Singapore, started as a social democratic party, which eventually betrayed the left-wing in their party (ie. the Communists) and then finally broke away from Malaysia. It was a mutually beneficial arrangement for both ruling classes in both societies. Singapore can weaponise it's city-state stature to become the economic centre of Southeast Asia like Hong Kong, while Malaysia's comprador Malay-Muslim feudal class was able to retain control of a backward racialised colonial political economy.

      Furthermore, Malaysia under their first prime minister was Western allied. It was in the middle of the cold war under the throes of Western red scare propaganda depicting Chinese people as foreign communist agents. My 2nd part of the article I am writing will cover this more but the People's Republic of China had the foresight and took advantage of this situation to normalize relationships with Malaysia in 1974, which helped mend a lot of the Red Scare terror that the British implanted in Malaysia for decades. The same can't be said about the latent anti-Malay-Muslim rhetoric found in Singapore.

      Another thing that was different was unlike Singapore, who can tout to graduate from the Third to First World, Malaysia never was able to escape from the Third World. A vast peasant population and large urban proletariat eventually meant that it would drift further left geopolitically on the world scale, while Singapore remained stuck in a badly put 1960s time capsule. This benefitted Singapore in some regards, it wouldn't have to deal with the difficult urban-rural and racialised contradictions found in present day Malaysia, but it also meant on a world-scale it was and continue to be geopolitically reactionary, in which the economic development of less populated Singapore was made at the expense of the more populated Southeast Asian periphery.