US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo says if China were to reunify with Taiwan, the US would be devastated due to the ramifications that would hold for the chips market.
The US has historically dumped the RoC out on their ass the moment that they could benefit more from closer ties with the PRC. The concentration of the semiconductor industry is the only reason we give them the time a day, and even the sclerotic US empire has identified that as an unacceptable risk and is moving to diversify its suppliers. It's entirely possible that those efforts will fail, and the RoC will maintain it's importance... but if the PRC and other countries catch up, then the US will be like "lol, smell ya later losers, we're buying all our chips from Guangzhou now". If that happens, then I could imagine that reunification efforts will pick up steam.
China is already the largest producer of non-hyper advanced chips. These are in consumer and infrastructure goods and even a lot of military tech that the US and Europe use. Despite sanctioning them for everything chip related, the US is already scared that china will do the same to the west over the more common chips lol. And guess what their proposed solution is? More sanctions against china. Because that’s how you improve relations
I'd be shocked if the US doesn't dump the RoC in the next 5-10 years.
The US has historically dumped the RoC out on their ass the moment that they could benefit more from closer ties with the PRC. The concentration of the semiconductor industry is the only reason we give them the time a day, and even the sclerotic US empire has identified that as an unacceptable risk and is moving to diversify its suppliers. It's entirely possible that those efforts will fail, and the RoC will maintain it's importance... but if the PRC and other countries catch up, then the US will be like "lol, smell ya later losers, we're buying all our chips from Guangzhou now". If that happens, then I could imagine that reunification efforts will pick up steam.
I think America will shoot itself in both of its feet
China is already the largest producer of non-hyper advanced chips. These are in consumer and infrastructure goods and even a lot of military tech that the US and Europe use. Despite sanctioning them for everything chip related, the US is already scared that china will do the same to the west over the more common chips lol. And guess what their proposed solution is? More sanctions against china. Because that’s how you improve relations
the west is so smart