Trump's team seems to have already pinned it on abortion, to the point where he quickly course-corrected AND went on record literally stating that the reason for the underperformance on the midterms was because the GOP went too hard on abortion. Keep in mind that this is Trump saving face after the mediocre results were squarely blamed on Trump's candidate picks, but it seems to me that the evangelist right is falling behind DeSantis and not Trump, which signals a separation on the agendas. I guess we'll have to see just how much sway the evangelist right holds over the GOP, but either way both Trump and DeSantis camps agree on how much they hate trans people.