Outside of the government and academia, the Internet was a similar sort of novelty at first, and people were really skeptical about whether it would ever “take off.”
Idk about that. I think the big problem with early internet was the bandwidth. Subsequent applications came out of improved speed and file transfer capacity. But these were solvable problems that incentivized people to design past the current boundary of technology.
ChatBots are already operating on the edge of system capacity. We're not waiting on a faster CPU or a larger data pipeline or a more robust data archive to improve their viability. What they're trying to do - replicate human behaviors minus modern taboos - is purely a game of administration and refined engineering. And its aimed at a shifting goalpost (demands on human behavior are constantly changing).
Like Segways, their novel iterations on existing technology that lack significant functional gain over what came previously. It's possible we could reengineer our lives to accommodate them, but only if we're willing to retrofit a bunch of existing processes around ChatBots.
Like with Segways and Autodriving cars... this is a thing we could do but not something we seem willing to do. We're not China, after all.
You definitely might be right about chatbots specifically, but I suspect that the more general trend of relatively cheap, easy to use, and publicly accessible AI expert systems is going to be similarly transformative eventually.
I think that they already existed in the form of search engines and older less sophisticated text generators. And I'm sure they'll have applications, just not revolutionary ones.
I hope your optimism turns out to be warranted,
I don't know if I'd call "banking on inertia" optimistic. I'm a FALGSC guy who would love to see jobs automated away under a benevolent administration. But I'm skeptical of the willingness of Americans to abandon their bullshit jobs systems. I don't think you get real useful automation without communism, because the fixation on high employment as a form of social control makes useful automation more of a hazard than a help.
Idk about that. I think the big problem with early internet was the bandwidth. Subsequent applications came out of improved speed and file transfer capacity. But these were solvable problems that incentivized people to design past the current boundary of technology.
ChatBots are already operating on the edge of system capacity. We're not waiting on a faster CPU or a larger data pipeline or a more robust data archive to improve their viability. What they're trying to do - replicate human behaviors minus modern taboos - is purely a game of administration and refined engineering. And its aimed at a shifting goalpost (demands on human behavior are constantly changing).
Like Segways, their novel iterations on existing technology that lack significant functional gain over what came previously. It's possible we could reengineer our lives to accommodate them, but only if we're willing to retrofit a bunch of existing processes around ChatBots.
Like with Segways and Autodriving cars... this is a thing we could do but not something we seem willing to do. We're not China, after all.
I think that they already existed in the form of search engines and older less sophisticated text generators. And I'm sure they'll have applications, just not revolutionary ones.
I don't know if I'd call "banking on inertia" optimistic. I'm a FALGSC guy who would love to see jobs automated away under a benevolent administration. But I'm skeptical of the willingness of Americans to abandon their bullshit jobs systems. I don't think you get real useful automation without communism, because the fixation on high employment as a form of social control makes useful automation more of a hazard than a help.