back in early spring , i noticed the climate prediction centers were expecting a transition to el nino this summer, and as of now el nino conditions are observed. el nino has a warming effect globally, especially in it's second year. similarly, the atlantic severe storm season is exacerbated by strong el nino in its 2nd year as some of the effects compound. so people affected by north atlantic storms, check your batterys/lights, store some water. do your severe storm checklist shit and get what you need to get while the getting is good.

la nina has a general cooling effect on global averages, which can mask global warming somewhat, though not really over time. global average temperatures keep going up due to climate forcing/destabilization trapping more energy/heat in the atmosphere.

so it's kind of like a bobber in the water going up and down quickly depending on the cycle, while overall the water level rises slowly. put another way, the el nino years are generally the years where global temps break the previous records, which were also generally in el nino years.

stay hydrated/safe out there.