For a long time I thought nearly all of this sort of stuff was him trolling.
I think I was partially right. For example when it comes to politics - it's hard (if not impossible) to know when he's being smarmy and when he's being a total dipshit. But this tweet is different. As you pointed out - it doesn't exactly build his brain as a statistican and really, really smart guy. This comment is bluecheck-level of idoicy. He does actually seem to be YOLO levels of stupid in many areas.
I meant to write "build his brand" but I left in the typo. It's funny.
His degree is in economics anyway, which is kiiinda close enough to statistics? But I'm sure everyone will understand what I'm getting at here.
I knew him as a poker player (who called himself Nate "tha" Great) way before he was a household name so him being a smarmy douchebag was really no great shock.
It's funny because I thought about this an hour ago and the way I would put it is "mainstream economics manipulates statistics to fit a preconceived worldview and theory." Which a lot of "statistics" related study is guilty of these days. But yeah, I think that's my problem with calling Nate Silver a statistician. He's a statistician who works backwards from a narrative.
He punked us. He was talking about the Titanic itself. "Titanic cruise" was misdirection so people might think he was talking about the sub and he could say "Of course I mean the ship itself." I should have known.
He was never a good statistician and the Obama prediction was entirely a fluke and he rode that for ten years and never predicted anything else very well
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For a long time I thought nearly all of this sort of stuff was him trolling.
I think I was partially right. For example when it comes to politics - it's hard (if not impossible) to know when he's being smarmy and when he's being a total dipshit. But this tweet is different. As you pointed out - it doesn't exactly build his brain as a statistican and really, really smart guy. This comment is bluecheck-level of idoicy. He does actually seem to be YOLO levels of stupid in many areas.
I meant to write "build his brand" but I left in the typo. It's funny.
His degree is in economics anyway, which is kiiinda close enough to statistics? But I'm sure everyone will understand what I'm getting at here.
I knew him as a poker player (who called himself Nate "tha" Great) way before he was a household name so him being a smarmy douchebag was really no great shock.
economics is just bad statistics
It's funny because I thought about this an hour ago and the way I would put it is "mainstream economics manipulates statistics to fit a preconceived worldview and theory." Which a lot of "statistics" related study is guilty of these days. But yeah, I think that's my problem with calling Nate Silver a statistician. He's a statistician who works backwards from a narrative.
He punked us. He was talking about the Titanic itself. "Titanic cruise" was misdirection so people might think he was talking about the sub and he could say "Of course I mean the ship itself." I should have known.
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moat Americans are excited by treats and shiny toys. They like projecting that other everyone else
He was never a good statistician and the Obama prediction was entirely a fluke and he rode that for ten years and never predicted anything else very well