That's not at all what you've been doing in your discussions with me, not then nor now.
No one here is denying climate change, or that it's going to be bad, or even that you should take it into account when making decisions in your day to day life (i.e don't buy a house in Phoenix). All I'm saying is do what you reasonably can to prepare for reasonably possible outcomes, use what little influence you have to try to push things in a better direction, but don't make these specific lurid death fantasies (which is what they are) more than an occasional indulgence.
Thanks for describing my fears of the future as a "death fantasy" that's definitely what they are! I know you can speak with authority about this, because you have a PhD, so even though every piece of climate science I encounter tells me we're fucked, I'm glad to know it's just me fantasizing, and not at all reacting to verifiable fact.
There is not a single climate change paper out there that says "Your great Aunt Martha is going to be stabbed by an ecofascist on August 21st 2031". That is probably not going to happen! It could happen, but there's no sense in worrying about that outcome for Ole Aunt Maratha when there are so many to choose from. You're taking real, aggregate trends and predictions and using them to construct specific worries for specific people. Are you equally concerned about Aunt Martha's diet and exercise cause if she's in the US, current science indicates it's going to be heart disease and not the Rural White Citizens Brigade that does her in.
Yup that's totally what you've been saying, which is why you've completely ignoring my closing statement,
I'm not interested in the closing statement, because it's predicated on the feelings of doom the rationality of which I am questioning. If you just posted your closing thoughts I wouldn't have anything to say, but you insist on leading into them with a catalog of climate change death scenarios.
No you're just denying every specific way in which it will take shape
No, I'm just denying that you can generalize from aggregate trends to specific predictions about specific people. I don't freak out everytime I get into a car, even though in aggregate that's one of the most dangerous things I do. I do freak out every time I get on a plane though, humorously enough, because I am an irrational sillybilly. I don't spend any time fretting that my friends and family are going to get T-boned on the highway, despite the fact that TONS of people do and will get T-Boned on the highway. There's no sense in it.
I think the many many many many many aggregate horrible things that we know for a fact will happen - things you claim you do not deny will happen
Correct, lots of bad things are going to happen.
are going to aggregately make life so miserable and unbearable and increasingly hostile to human life, that most of us are going to die some unpleasant death.
Nope, haven't seen any numbers that support this specific claim with any reasonable degree of probability. 25% of humanity dying of climate change causes would be an undeniable apocalypse, and actually not that far-fetched. But even under that scenario "most of us are going to die a climate change death" would be incorrect. Because of how numbers work.
But you are of course not invalidating climate change, even though you are now presenting it as something that can be solved with a simple diet.
No, I'm contrasting your willingness to fret over long-range, far-fetched deaths for your friends and family while not giving a whit about the current leading causes of death. Surely if you're worried about your friends and family dying you'd want to focus on the stuff that is currently killing the most people and not just the Roland Emmerich stuff.
I thought you wanted to look to what we can do, and wanted to discuss what should be done to make the world a better place? Now the discussion has once again taken a turn and we are at another subject. Fascinating how you, a selfproclaimed pedant that thinks being clear in language is very important, chooses to change subject willy-nilly.
You absolutely should focus on what you can do to make the world a better place. But we've not ever left the subject of you insisting leftists should think that each of use is doomed to a climate death.
Yet another classic of climate change deniers, but you are of course not denying anything
I'm denying that it's necessary or even reasonable to live in daily fear of cars killing everyone I know despite the fact that cars do and will continue to kill tons of people. Just like climate change, which does and will continue to kill tons of people.
For the record, I mean "climate change [attributable] death" here, using a but-for notion of causation, which would include things like the social, political, and economic developments attributable to climate change.
Why would I post about diet and excersice on a thread about climate change?
You wouldn't post about how doomerish heart disease and cancer have you feeling anywhere, which is my point.
I think leftists should be realistic about what the future entails, so as to be most effective in their organizing
I agree with this, and I think that involves a degree of humility in our ability to predict precisely what the future entails. When you start saying "I'm going to die in the next 20 years due to x, y, or z", you're bending science way past it's breaking point into flights of fantasy.
I do not live in daily fear, and I do not think people should.
Good, but you also feel
Still I feel as though I am staring down the barrel of a shotgun built out of misery and shit. No one my age wants to talk politics, climate or the future, because it looks so fucking bleak - Sure we might be able to have a good life or part of a good life, but the world that is coming looks like hell on earth. When we say "things aren't going to get better" we are talking about this sentiment. It feels as though the world is ending and there is nothing to do.
You can feel that way, but there is no need for a leftist to feel that way, and I'd argue it's largely unhelpful.
Look, I've literally moved to my current location based on climate change models and have taught myself food preservation and run a community vegetable gardening to learn agricultural skills. But I also have a retirement account. I have no idea what's going to happen in the future, and certainly don't trust in my ability to predict the future to point where I'd want to let it sap my enjoyment from the present.
I agree with all of this, with the important distinction that there seems to be a degree of evangelism to his position. It's one thing to develop your own coping mechanisms related to existential anxiety, but another thing entirely to imply that such existential anxiety is rationally motivated and should be shared, which I think is being done specifically here
They argue that realizing and admitting how completely and utterly fucked we all are is actually anti-leftist, it is defeatist. I disagree, and I think it's a poor argument, because it dismisses rightful worries held by a lot of people. It also strikes me as unscientific
The fact that they're copying and pasting these bits of a little a manifesto in multiple climate change posts doesn't do much to dispel that notion for me.
So to sum up, I'm glad that they've developed an attitude of perseverance and struggle against the forces making our wold a worst place, I don't appreciate the implication that leftists should under-go some doomerist dark enlightenment to get there, as not everyone will come out the other side.
Because I exercise regularly and it is something I can take care of myself?
You can't take care of your friends and families exercise habits yourself.
I have however posted about Long Covid and how it makes me doomerish.
See, it's the flashy stuff again. Long covid is a huge problem, but it's not worse that diabetes or heart disease from a scientific medical perspective, so I just don't understand the attention mismatch unless we're willing to just accept a baseline level of shit and misery.
I wonder why I never put a specific range of years where this would happen, it's almost as if I countless times admitted for uncertainty, it's almost as if I mentioned I might be wrong as well
I mean you admit you could be wrong, which is good. In any case, I'm not taking issue with your statements as wrong (because I don't know if they are) but as unjustified. The claim that a majority of people reading these posts will die of climate adjacent causes may or may not be true, but it is absolutely unjustified based on the current literature. That doesn't make it impossible or even implausible, it just means that the current preponderance of evidence does not point to that as being the most likely outcome, so I don't think we should fixate on it.
Where am I saying this is a constant thing?
I genuine hope it isn't. It's certainly not a rare thing given this is something like the third climate change post I've run into with you in nearly as many days. > Wow this sure would be poignant if it weren't just a regurgitation of my ending statement. Should we start a tally at how many times I've referred to it? It almost seems like you ignore it so you can continue to have a pointless discussion
Wow this sure would be poignant if it weren't just a regurgitation of my ending statement. Should we start a tally at how many times I've referred to it? It almost seems like you ignore it so you can continue to have a pointless discussion
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There is not a single climate change paper out there that says "Your great Aunt Martha is going to be stabbed by an ecofascist on August 21st 2031". That is probably not going to happen! It could happen, but there's no sense in worrying about that outcome for Ole Aunt Maratha when there are so many to choose from. You're taking real, aggregate trends and predictions and using them to construct specific worries for specific people. Are you equally concerned about Aunt Martha's diet and exercise cause if she's in the US, current science indicates it's going to be heart disease and not the Rural White Citizens Brigade that does her in.
I'm not interested in the closing statement, because it's predicated on the feelings of doom the rationality of which I am questioning. If you just posted your closing thoughts I wouldn't have anything to say, but you insist on leading into them with a catalog of climate change death scenarios.
No, I'm just denying that you can generalize from aggregate trends to specific predictions about specific people. I don't freak out everytime I get into a car, even though in aggregate that's one of the most dangerous things I do. I do freak out every time I get on a plane though, humorously enough, because I am an irrational sillybilly. I don't spend any time fretting that my friends and family are going to get T-boned on the highway, despite the fact that TONS of people do and will get T-Boned on the highway. There's no sense in it.
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Correct, lots of bad things are going to happen.
Nope, haven't seen any numbers that support this specific claim with any reasonable degree of probability. 25% of humanity dying of climate change causes would be an undeniable apocalypse, and actually not that far-fetched. But even under that scenario "most of us are going to die a climate change death" would be incorrect. Because of how numbers work.
No, I'm contrasting your willingness to fret over long-range, far-fetched deaths for your friends and family while not giving a whit about the current leading causes of death. Surely if you're worried about your friends and family dying you'd want to focus on the stuff that is currently killing the most people and not just the Roland Emmerich stuff.
You absolutely should focus on what you can do to make the world a better place. But we've not ever left the subject of you insisting leftists should think that each of use is doomed to a climate death.
I'm denying that it's necessary or even reasonable to live in daily fear of cars killing everyone I know despite the fact that cars do and will continue to kill tons of people. Just like climate change, which does and will continue to kill tons of people.
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For the record, I mean "climate change [attributable] death" here, using a but-for notion of causation, which would include things like the social, political, and economic developments attributable to climate change.
You wouldn't post about how doomerish heart disease and cancer have you feeling anywhere, which is my point.
I agree with this, and I think that involves a degree of humility in our ability to predict precisely what the future entails. When you start saying "I'm going to die in the next 20 years due to x, y, or z", you're bending science way past it's breaking point into flights of fantasy.
Good, but you also feel
You can feel that way, but there is no need for a leftist to feel that way, and I'd argue it's largely unhelpful.
Look, I've literally moved to my current location based on climate change models and have taught myself food preservation and run a community vegetable gardening to learn agricultural skills. But I also have a retirement account. I have no idea what's going to happen in the future, and certainly don't trust in my ability to predict the future to point where I'd want to let it sap my enjoyment from the present.
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I agree with all of this, with the important distinction that there seems to be a degree of evangelism to his position. It's one thing to develop your own coping mechanisms related to existential anxiety, but another thing entirely to imply that such existential anxiety is rationally motivated and should be shared, which I think is being done specifically here
The fact that they're copying and pasting these bits of a little a manifesto in multiple climate change posts doesn't do much to dispel that notion for me.
So to sum up, I'm glad that they've developed an attitude of perseverance and struggle against the forces making our wold a worst place, I don't appreciate the implication that leftists should under-go some doomerist dark enlightenment to get there, as not everyone will come out the other side.
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You can't take care of your friends and families exercise habits yourself.
See, it's the flashy stuff again. Long covid is a huge problem, but it's not worse that diabetes or heart disease from a scientific medical perspective, so I just don't understand the attention mismatch unless we're willing to just accept a baseline level of shit and misery.
I mean you admit you could be wrong, which is good. In any case, I'm not taking issue with your statements as wrong (because I don't know if they are) but as unjustified. The claim that a majority of people reading these posts will die of climate adjacent causes may or may not be true, but it is absolutely unjustified based on the current literature. That doesn't make it impossible or even implausible, it just means that the current preponderance of evidence does not point to that as being the most likely outcome, so I don't think we should fixate on it.
I genuine hope it isn't. It's certainly not a rare thing given this is something like the third climate change post I've run into with you in nearly as many days. > Wow this sure would be poignant if it weren't just a regurgitation of my ending statement. Should we start a tally at how many times I've referred to it? It almost seems like you ignore it so you can continue to have a pointless discussion
I mean I don't see them as being equivalent, but that may be one of those irregular verb scenarios.