Permanently Deleted

  • HobbitFoot @thelemmy.club
    ·
    16 days ago

    If this was the deal after Russia annexed the Crimean Peninsula, I could see it being ok. However, this is the second invasion in a decade.

    What keeps Russia from invading a decade later?

    • Black_Mald_Futures [any]
      ·
      16 days ago

      Not having Ukraine join NATO while saying "hey we might give ukraine nukes that could hit Moscow in 4 minutes"

      • anarchoilluminati [comrade/them]
        ·
        15 days ago

        Not to play into Hexbear stereotypes, but unless there are some dramatic political changes in Ukraine, I'd rather Russia invade Ukraine again in 10 years to be honest.

        I wouldn't trust Nazis with nukes.

    • 420blazeit69 [he/him]
      ·
      16 days ago

      Taking everything you say at face value, the options for Ukraine are:

      1. Take a deal that maybe you can't trust, but it at least gives you time to breathe.
      2. Keep fighting, and with the war going how it is eventually lose more than what you've already lost.
      3. Attempt to draw other states into the conflict so that you have a shot at what might be considered a victory, likely years more down the road under the best of circumstances.

      There is no justification for 2, and 3 is highly unlikely -- if other states haven't entered the war already, they're not going to do so now.

    • D61 [any]
      ·
      16 days ago

      Not giving Russia a political reason to for starters.

    • Doom@ttrpg.network
      ·
      16 days ago

      They will.

      Russia is running on fumes and Ukraine is continuing to bolster up. Russia needs time to reup

      • 420blazeit69 [he/him]
        ·
        16 days ago

        This has been the narrative since shortly after the war began. All that's happened since is Russia has slowly advanced.

          • 420blazeit69 [he/him]
            ·
            16 days ago

            Pick one: Russia is running on fumes, or Russia should have won a year ago.

            The coherent opinion here is that it's a slow, grinding war and the side that has lost more and more territory as it continued will continue to do so.

          • Egon [they/them]
            ·
            16 days ago

            Shouldn't the Leopard tanks have turned the tide of battle? Or the NATO equipment and training? Or the other round of NATO equipment and training? Or the MANPADS? Or the third shipment of NATO equipment and training? Or the F-16s that are totally coming any day now (which will definitely turn the tide of the war guise! It's not silly to make a plane that can't handle dirt on the airway)? What about the drone tactics Ukraine used to terrorbomb russian civilian targets, wasn't that supposed to turn the tide of the war? What about the bombing of the Crimea bridge, how come that didn't turn the tide of the war?
            You guys keep saying Russia is about to run out of equipment, but they still have stocks and stocks of shells, meanwhile NATO countries are struggling to rearm after having donated so much equipment to Ukraine. Maybe there isn't a wunderwaffe that will win the war, and maybe it's senseless to continue this meat-grinder. The Ukrainians don't want to fight, they have to be forcibly conscripted.
            But! If you think they should continue to die for some vague cause, why don't you go volunteer? They need bodies. The average age is 43, so you won't be turned away for being "too old" or "too young". Why don't you volunteer for Ukraine?

      • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.ml
        ·
        16 days ago

        Meanwhile in the real world

        • https://www.businessinsider.com/russias-army-15-percent-larger-when-attacked-ukraine-us-general-2024-4
        • https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/attritional-art-war-lessons-russian-war-ukraine
        • https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/11/christopher-cavoli-russian-military-losses-00151718
        • https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/10/politics/russia-artillery-shell-production-us-europe-ukraine/index.html
        • https://www.bbc.com/news/business-68823399
        • https://raport.valisluureamet.ee/2024/en/1-russian-armed-forces-and-the-war-in-ukraine/1-3-russian-military-industry/
          • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.ml
            ·
            15 days ago

            What's amazing to me is that this stuff is now openly reported in western media, and we still have people running around talking about Russia collapsing any day now. I suspect that a lot of the people who got really invested in project Ukraine stopped paying attention a while back, and they're just regurgitating the talking points they memorized two years ago.

      • Black_Mald_Futures [any]
        ·
        15 days ago

        You stupid motherfuckers have been saying this shit since the war began without even the slightest bit of realization that Russia is an actual industrialized, manufacturing power, while the west has shipped almost all of its actual production to China and SEA

        Ukraine is literally constantly running out of shit despite the entirety of NATO dumping military supplies on them and they're the ones conscripting 40+ year old men but lol "Russia is running on fumes"

        "Why hasn't Russia won yet" because they're winning, stupid, they are winning a war of attrition, the fact that they're winning doesn't mean they can just magically teleport troops into Kiev and declare Game Over. This isn't some fucking paradox game, moron. The winning move is to keep grinding Ukraine into dust, not whatever dumbass shit you think Russia needs to be doing to win the war.

        I can't stress enough how fucking stupid you are if you think Ukraine's current conscription reality is in any way indicative of them "bolstering up"