I thought the same in the early 2000s. Then statistics showed me the error of my ways in 2005-2010. In terms of variance and heat extremes etc. it was a bit earlier noticeable tbh, which I didn't know. Looking back only a minority of political reports I got is talking about effects in 2020, most are like 2035-2050 or even later.
I thought we wouldn't see macro-scale effects from global warming for another 20-30 years. Oopsie.
I thought the same in the early 2000s. Then statistics showed me the error of my ways in 2005-2010. In terms of variance and heat extremes etc. it was a bit earlier noticeable tbh, which I didn't know. Looking back only a minority of political reports I got is talking about effects in 2020, most are like 2035-2050 or even later.