• Sephitard9001 [he/him]
    ·
    5 months ago

    What makes you say this? Not doubting I'm just unsure how that would go either way tbh. I don't have the confidence to say that.

    • Justice@lemmygrad.ml
      ·
      5 months ago

      I think the other comment is partially a meme/joke, but also the US already tried once to defeat the north and lost... or at least gave up. That was immediately post-WWII US military and economy roaring after facing basically zero setbacks unlike most of the world. Korea and China were coming out of occupation by the fascist Japanese and a brutal incredibly long civil war in China... and still managed to hold their own against, again, the US still at it's WWII strength. And it's not like the US wasn't trying to "win" either they leveled every fucking building in the north and still couldn't make them give up. I'm not an expert on North Korean military shit now, but last I heard they learned from the war with the US and built everything underground so it can't really be targeted by the US. Not easily anyway. We see in Gaza that Israel cannot damage much of the underground infrastructure... imagine that on the nation state level. US would be on a total suicide mission to even try an invasion. Not to mention their nuclear capabilities.

        • Tom742 [they/them, any]
          ·
          5 months ago

          Propaganda is so heavy. I thought you were being 100% serious because it’s quite obvious the US would handily lose that conflict a second time. Probably even worse than the first as neoliberalism has rotted the US from the inside while DPRK has prepared for this inevitability.

    • hello_hello [comrade/them]
      ·
      edit-2
      5 months ago

      The US relies on its asian puppet colonies KUSA and Japan to act as meaningful proxies. KUSA is mostly filled with forced conscripts so judging from the IOF, they don't look like to be an actual competant fighting force. Also in the event of war, military command goes to the US who, as we've seen in Ukraine and Occupied Palestine + Yemen, are so corrupt that it would be a liability so there is a possibility of refuseniks/mutinies in the KUSA army.

      Artillery shells are pointed at seoul at all times and can wipe out the entire city in a matter of hours. This inevitably means that SK's economy collapses as all the Chaebols and other assorted bourgeoisie flee and the entire country is militarized while the CIA controlled Korean government would spend all its time doing the classic slava Ukranian trick of kidnapping conscripts and whatnot.

      The US backed NATO can't join the conflict because of Comrade Kim Jong Un's investment in nuclear ICBMs (Ukraine much?), inevitably, South Korea's place in the global supply chain would be used as a threat to G7 and the global south to support the war while further isolating the US.

      A war with the DPRK could be a flashpoint to a proletarian revolution in KUSA and a complete breakdown of Chaebols which is why the endlessly corrupt and cruel south korean government would never go to war unless the US forced then to (meaning that the Chaebols would know in advance, the optics of which could prove fatal to the rogue state of the ROK).

    • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
      ·
      5 months ago

      They couldn't defeat them the first time around and they hadn't had decades to stockpile munitions back then. You can't defeat a country with air power, you can only destroy it, and the west pretty demonstrably only has air power.

      • egg1918 [she/her]
        ·
        5 months ago

        and the west pretty demonstrably only has air power.

        And even then it's only when there are no threats to their aircraft. They haven't fought a foe with actual air defenses in decades.

    • Tunnelvision [they/them]
      ·
      5 months ago

      The other comments explain it enough I think, I’d just like to add that I think there is a natural reaction to underestimate the North Koreans even among leftists, but imho I think the DPRK would do better in a war against the US in Korea than even the Russians in Ukraine. Just for comparison sake the Russians have been practicing the war in Ukraine for 30 years pretty much, but the DPRK has been practicing since the 1950’s.

        • Tunnelvision [they/them]
          ·
          5 months ago

          Russia is doing extremely well. Victory has nothing to do with how much of an area you occupy.

        • emizeko [they/them]
          ·
          edit-2
          5 months ago

          you are measuring by territory, but attrition war suits their goal of demilitarizing the Ukraine more than holding land

            • Rod_Blagojevic [none/use name]
              ·
              5 months ago

              This may be true in several years, but if I'm not mistaken, all sources indicate that NATO's already been bled dry.

                • Rod_Blagojevic [none/use name]
                  ·
                  5 months ago

                  They keep claiming they have what they need to destroy Russia, but 2 years into the conflict, it still hasn't shown up, and Russia is even stronger. NATO doesn't have anything else they can part with.

                • Tunnelvision [they/them]
                  ·
                  edit-2
                  5 months ago

                  It really isn’t. For nato to be well armed they would have to dump massive amounts of money into manufacturing and even then it would take years to get up to speed. We have every indication that the US has given from their own stockpiles. Not all of it, but there really isn’t old stock to speak of.

                • PolandIsAStateOfMind@lemmygrad.ml
                  ·
                  5 months ago

                  UK admitted they have ammo for 3 weeks of warfare. German military is in shambles. French and Polish disarmed some of their units to send arms to Ukraine. US is not in such a great condition too, eating L after L from barely armed people like Taliban or Ansar Allah.
                  Sure, they may be well armed but for usual aerial terror campaigns (because not even for naval now), but absolutely not for land warfare.

                    • Tunnelvision [they/them]
                      ·
                      5 months ago

                      If the United States had the capacity to make enough ammunition and ordnance to fight multiple wars at the same time, there would be enough people employed by these companies that you would probably personally know at least 1 of them.

                        • Tunnelvision [they/them]
                          ·
                          5 months ago

                          All those places together do not even employ 400,000 people. I work in manufacturing and I don’t know a single person who works at these places. What I’m saying is so many new jobs would be created that MILLIONS of people would from that point on be in the defense sector making bombs and bullets. It’s not even comparable.

                        • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
                          ·
                          5 months ago

                          Walmart is a big employer. Can they supply war munitions? Being a big employer is genuinely irrelevant unless the bulk of those employees are making munitions

                            • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
                              ·
                              5 months ago

                              Look I'm not trying to be a dick here but are you being serious? The US can deliver some special, expensive wundermunitions via aircraft, if they have absolute air superiority. They only get that against shepherds. We're talking about enemies in 2024 who have more than just sheep maintenance capacity, so...

                    • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
                      ·
                      5 months ago

                      A very large portion of American military doctrine is centered around avoiding overextension.

                      And yet they are currently already overextended.

                        • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
                          ·
                          5 months ago

                          The US Navy is currently extremely overextended. They are currently losing what Navy officers have described as the largest naval battle the US has been in since WW2 against a nation whose navy consists of speedboats.

                          On the subject of supply or logistics, the US military basically lacks any of the transport/airlift capacity they had 25 years ago. That, to my mind, qualifies as a supply or logistics failure, given that such a capacity would be a basic necessity for any actual Army engagement in a conflict.

                        • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
                          ·
                          5 months ago

                          The US military's greatest weakness is the inability to hold objectives

                          Just gonna add here that yes, the US military does have trouble with the basic requirements of a military. This does not help your argument.

                            • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
                              ·
                              5 months ago

                              There's no question about that. The US military can do massacres, but it can't achieve military goals unless they're just "air based massacres".

            • Droplet
              ·
              edit-2
              4 months ago

              deleted by creator

            • REEEEvolution@lemmygrad.ml
              ·
              5 months ago

              That supply has long since started to dry up. All they get is below the rate at which they lose it. And they get less and less.

        • REEEEvolution@lemmygrad.ml
          ·
          5 months ago

          The slow progress is very much intentional. Less casualties for Russia, more for Ukraine. The digging in also was intentional, Ukraine was very open about its planned counter offensive. Russia dug in and let them come.

          Don't get me wrong, there have been russian fuck ups, like, after the peace negotiation broke down, not taking into consideration that many contract soldiers might not renew their contracts.

        • Rod_Blagojevic [none/use name]
          ·
          5 months ago

          It looks to me (I am not a reliable source) like Russia won the war immediately. There will never be a stable, western aligned government in Ukraine again. But there will be a huge buffer zone that keeps NATO far from anything Russia considers dangerous.

            • Rod_Blagojevic [none/use name]
              ·
              5 months ago

              There will never be a stable, western-aligned government again. There's never gonna be a stable, eastern-aligned government either. The rightwing coups will never end. Ukraine is destroyed for the working class. The bourgeoisie might have one last chance to sell out and move to the US.

            • PolandIsAStateOfMind@lemmygrad.ml
              ·
              5 months ago

              How you propose to reverse or even avoid this? Keel up before nazis and allow for genocide in Donbas and another yeltsinisation of Russia? This time maybe terminal since west seem helbent on balkanization of Russia.