• kilternkafuffle [any]
    ·
    4 years ago

    Armenians are cool with the status quo (i.e. the Armenian-populated part within the legal borders of Azerbaijan remains Armenian-held), Azerbaijan is the one that wants conflict. So Azerbaijan is the aggressor and Armenia the victim (though both did massacres/ethnic cleansing against each other in the past).

    However, Azerbaijan is bigger and stronger and wants its legal territory back. So the likely outcome is Azerbaijan gets it all back after a lot of bloody fighting - unless there's international pressure for the conflict to end or Armenia can pull off another upset victory.

    In terms of leftist politics, there's no winners here. It's ethnic strife and unless the Red Army comes back through a time machine no one is interested in stopping it, external powers only see profit in the war.