I'm not good at math, but people keep passing this chart around in 
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But I keep seeing people in the comments debating whether this is actually "impossible" or not, using stats terms I'm not familiar with. Also idk the source of this graph so maybe it's bs.
I believe the numbers came from this https://x.com/cneesvzla/status/1817953254208110756 The video has numbers shown on screen.
So, that's at the preliminary bulletin, so those numbers would then be projected final votes based on the then-current estimate, hence the reverse construction.
So, we'll see what the final numbers are today, assuming that the CNE is able to make its deadline.