Last time the flag appeared on the eve of Iran’s unprecedented missile and drone attack on Israel in April this year.

The flag has been raised for the sixth time in Iran’s history.

    • zed_proclaimer [he/him]
      ·
      2 months ago

      shipwreck is actually a very active reader of current events and good analyst, especially on the economic side of things. I think this prediction is a bit of a stretch and the time table is unlikely, but it's not absurd it's quite plausible and even likely to go this way. Israel will fall into its contradictions, American empire will falter under its own weight eventually and the sampson option will be threatened.

      • Antiwork [none/use name]
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        edit-2
        2 months ago

        I think about Nukes destroying the world in the near future pretty often as well. Proclaiming one must succumb too the reality that this will happen in 3 months as to avoid shock when it does is deeply unserious and not helpful to any discourse. It's giving Q "they're going to release the documents this month, I swear."

        Edit: I also despise any sort of talk of power users with well thought out correct takes. Blue check vibes over here

          • Antiwork [none/use name]
            ·
            2 months ago

            In what way do you view predicting nukes dropping and possibly all of human civilization dying within 3 months to be based in dialectical materialism?

        • zed_proclaimer [he/him]
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          edit-2
          2 months ago

          i think you need to remove the stick from thine ass and learn the joy of the post. Post with hyperbole, post with gusto, post as if the history books will quote you because it's more fun. The culture here eminates from Cushman who would say stuff like "we're all going to drown in boiling ocean water" when expressing a point that is generally correct, hyperbole is built into the posting style here from inception

      • ShimmeringKoi [comrade/them]
        ·
        2 months ago

        On the other hand, most of the time I've seen their name it's been next to a take I disagreed with

    • Kolibri [she/her]
      ·
      2 months ago

      I think shipwreck has some right to be concerned. I don't know about the timeline prediction, but while this isn't on Iran, more so related to Ukraine and Nato, this is worth a read https://thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/nato-ukraine-nuclear-crisis/

      • BynarsAreOk [none/use name]
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        edit-2
        2 months ago

        The problem is that we don't realy know how serious the US realy is about winning the war in Ukraine.

        By all evidence so far they're not actualy very threatened or willing to make any meaningful concessions to Ukraine. From day 1 they refused to give Ukraine cruise missiles etc. They tried to say keep the US out of the fight and they made sure Russia couldn't use US assistance as justification. Then the military escalation we saw was a complete joke as a result. The US said Ukraine can't attack pre-Crimea invasion borders for example.

        Of course between incompetence, delusion and some deeper strategy perhaps its all three, but if we just take the incompetence and media narratives at face value, then Ukraine was nothing but a long term grift, meant to allow the US to encroach on Russia, a plan that backfired when Putin actualy decided to go to war at first and when their "contingency"(aka sanctions) failed later on.

        I wont go further but you can see this is very different from the entire context and meaning behind Israel's existence and US support there.

        If you want to have a peek at what the west is actualy thinking look at Rand corporation papers on Ukraine-Russia

        It is very enlightening to see how they think of Russia as some "competition" for example. Some(most?) of these end up copy pasted over on western media btw.