What we have right now is a proxy war, but if US attacks China directly that's a whole different game. Also, China wouldn't have to cut all exports, just strategic things. Like for example, Europe is currently unable to produce artillery shells in part cause most of the cotton needed for explosives is produced in Xinjiang, and EU stopped importing it. There's no alternative available. Titanium is another example, and there are plenty more.
I completely agree that dedollarization is necessary, and that process has already been under way for the past two years. BRICS just announced their own settlement currency as well, and I imagine that will come online sooner than later. We basically have two major economic blocs forming around the G7 and the BRICS, with the latter being the bigger one.
China's been pursuing dual circulation economy for a while now, and they have been largely reorienting their exports away from the west already. https://asiatimes.com/2024/05/2-words-explain-china-export-surge-global-south/
I would argue that the window the west had to strike at China is long past. That said, it's entirely possible that the western leadership doesn't realize it, the same way they didn't understand that taking on Russia would end poorly. So, the war might still happen, but there is no path to victory for the west. The worse possible outcome however is that US would start a nuclear holocaust rather than lose hegemony. That's a very real possibility.
There's also the whole crisis brewing in West Asia right now. If Israel provokes a war with Iran, which is looking increasingly likely, that will further drain the resources from the empire. There is absolutely no way the US can fight three major wars at the same time.
Nobody is suggesting the imperialists would put down the knives. The point I'm making is that the imperialists hollowed out their own industrial base to the point where they're not materially capable of achieving their goals.
I'm spitballing here, what if the attack is cyber? The US has more than enough resources and I would argue there is a larger vulnerable population in China (elderly, those lifted out of absolute poverty) and plenty of digital infrastructure is in the US.
Can you imagine the absolute havoc that a cyber attack against the US would bring? An entire nation atomized without communities, addicted to electronic treats, and all public infrastructure barely existing on a shoestring budget as is. People would absolutely lose their minds. The same shit tearing apart Israel would start up here—fascist, deeply indoctrinated populations become rabid when they’re losing. Compared with China, for whom it would no doubt still be crazy, but I have much more faith in the resilience, communities, and infrastructures of its people than I do American treat hogs
What we have right now is a proxy war, but if US attacks China directly that's a whole different game. Also, China wouldn't have to cut all exports, just strategic things. Like for example, Europe is currently unable to produce artillery shells in part cause most of the cotton needed for explosives is produced in Xinjiang, and EU stopped importing it. There's no alternative available. Titanium is another example, and there are plenty more.
I completely agree that dedollarization is necessary, and that process has already been under way for the past two years. BRICS just announced their own settlement currency as well, and I imagine that will come online sooner than later. We basically have two major economic blocs forming around the G7 and the BRICS, with the latter being the bigger one.
China's been pursuing dual circulation economy for a while now, and they have been largely reorienting their exports away from the west already. https://asiatimes.com/2024/05/2-words-explain-china-export-surge-global-south/
I would argue that the window the west had to strike at China is long past. That said, it's entirely possible that the western leadership doesn't realize it, the same way they didn't understand that taking on Russia would end poorly. So, the war might still happen, but there is no path to victory for the west. The worse possible outcome however is that US would start a nuclear holocaust rather than lose hegemony. That's a very real possibility.
There's also the whole crisis brewing in West Asia right now. If Israel provokes a war with Iran, which is looking increasingly likely, that will further drain the resources from the empire. There is absolutely no way the US can fight three major wars at the same time.
Nobody is suggesting the imperialists would put down the knives. The point I'm making is that the imperialists hollowed out their own industrial base to the point where they're not materially capable of achieving their goals.
I'm spitballing here, what if the attack is cyber? The US has more than enough resources and I would argue there is a larger vulnerable population in China (elderly, those lifted out of absolute poverty) and plenty of digital infrastructure is in the US.
Can you imagine the absolute havoc that a cyber attack against the US would bring? An entire nation atomized without communities, addicted to electronic treats, and all public infrastructure barely existing on a shoestring budget as is. People would absolutely lose their minds. The same shit tearing apart Israel would start up here—fascist, deeply indoctrinated populations become rabid when they’re losing. Compared with China, for whom it would no doubt still be crazy, but I have much more faith in the resilience, communities, and infrastructures of its people than I do American treat hogs
Oh, yes I didn't really think that through. Thanks for sharing your thoughts.