Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.
The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.
Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.
I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
The smoke left over after the missile detonates and the smoke coming out of the drone is a bit sus. Do missiles usually leave a thick orange cloud behind?
I don't know, I haven't honestly seen that many air to air missile videos of fighter jets. Engaging with a missile at this range just seems incredibly odd to me when you could fire it from further out.
Could be videogame or sim footage?
It's hard to get the missiles to track these drones, the radar signature is small as they're made of fibreglass, and the heat signature is also small from the propeller engine. Pilots of fighter jets in Ukraine have ended up taking damage and losing their aircraft, and even dying, from the shrapnel after taking out drones.
That's exactly why I'm shocked they get so close? You could add a shrapnel pack to these drones and turn them into jet killers if this is how they shoot them down. Something like a midair claymore that shoots out the back of the drone when it's targeted.
The drones can't carry any extra weight, their engines are not very powerful. To create a sharpnel cloud big enough to be effective in air to air combat where the enemy aircraft are still hundreds of metres away is difficult.
Here's a video of a Ukrainian MiG-29 taking out a Russian drone, look at how close they have to get for the intercept.
God damn that is close. Also lmao at the fact that missile probably cost a couple hundred grand to destroy a single $20k drone
Ukraine probably had a massive stockpile of the Soviet R-73 missiles at the start of the war, who knows how many they have left now.
surely not right, the mig is a soviet plane, surely its missles arent grifts
Edit: maybe youre talking about the israeli missle mb
Fuck you right, it's a Mig so no way it's firing a western missile.
I'd bet it's still more expensive than the Shahed though. Missile based air defense just doesn't seem economical
Huh, but why. I don't know why they'd do it so close at all.
If this is common surely you could take advantage of it.
Small target for infrared seeker.
You just fly up to the target until you hear the seeker tone changes to high pitch tones. (DCS guide on youtube for reference).
Can't use the long range radar guided missiles as the shahed drone has a small radar signature due to being made of fibreglass and a stealthy shape, this forces the pilots of the fighter aircraft to use infrared/heat seeking missiles, in this case the R-73 missile, which has a max range of 20-40km/12-24 miles depending on the variant.
But this means obtaining a heat signature for the infrared sensor to track, which is difficult on the propeller powered small drones, the only heat signature available here would be from the exhaust gases and operation of the 0.55L/33.44 cubic inch piston engine powering the drone. These missiles are designed to lock onto turbine jet engines, which have a much larger heat signature. This forces the pilot to get in very close to obtain a missile lock on the small heat signature.
Also the camera work is suspiciously good at just the right time